February NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Charlene (Kai) - - - 1% 14% 85%
2 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 5%
3 WATRALL Christina - - - < 1% 6% 31% 63%
3 CAFASSO Natalya - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
5 OXENREIDER Tierna A. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
6 MACHULSKY Leehi - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
7 ZIGALO Elizabeth - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
8 YAO Melinda - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22%
9 TOLSMA Chloe - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 30%
10 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. - - - 1% 8% 34% 58%
11 LEE REGINA - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
12 SEREGIN Katya - 1% 6% 22% 39% 28% 4%
13 SHIV Avni - 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 8%
14 ZHANG Victoria R. - - 7% 30% 43% 20%
15 LEE Sumin - - - < 1% 5% 30% 65%
16 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
17 KORFONTA Jolie - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
18 CHI Chelsea - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
19 ELSTON Sophie - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
20 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. - - - 2% 12% 39% 48%
21 WANG Zoe - - 5% 21% 42% 31%
22 CHIN Isabella - - 1% 10% 43% 38% 9%
22 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
24 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
26 PROFIS Liora - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
27 LIN Jessica Y. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
29 YILMAZ Pinar - - 3% 17% 42% 33% 5%
30 OLELE Ifechi - 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
31 LEE Claire 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 2% -
32 CHI Zoe 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
33 MILEWSKI Nicole - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
34 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
35 FALLON Kyle R. - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
36 CAPELLUA Mariasole - 2% 11% 28% 36% 21% 3%
37 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. - - - - 3% 27% 70%
38 SOBUS Yanka - 1% 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
39 GUMAGAY Erika L. - - 3% 13% 33% 36% 14%
39 WU Michelle 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
41 LAI Amanda 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% < 1% -
42 LISCUM Vivian - 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
43 YOUNG VIVIAN - - 2% 13% 34% 39% 11%
44 WITTER Catherine A. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
45 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
46 EDWARDS Auprell 2% 12% 32% 38% 17% 1%
47 TOBY Natalia R. - - - 2% 23% 75%
48 SPRINGER Sierra - - 2% 17% 47% 34%
49 MAO Amy - - 1% 10% 30% 41% 18%
50 YANG Alisa - - 3% 16% 36% 35% 10%
51 LEE Scarlett - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
52 CARRIER Meredith 1% 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
53 SMUK Alexandra S. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
54 LEE Michelle J. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
55 LEE Natasha - - 3% 19% 47% 30%
56 MENG YIFAN 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
57 LONADIER Keira - 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
58 NGUYEN Renee 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
59 HONG Elaine - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10% 1%
60 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
61 QI Julieanne 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 2%
62 BASRALIAN Azniv - 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
63 ILYAS Ayah 2% 15% 35% 35% 13% 1%
64 AI Amy - 5% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1%
65 CANDREVA Greta H. - - - 1% 12% 43% 45%
66 SONG Angela - - 3% 18% 43% 31% 4%
67 FENG Ge (Catherine) - 1% 6% 22% 38% 27% 7%
68 BEAVER Ava 4% 23% 40% 27% 7% < 1%
69 CHEN Lefu - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
70 GUO Luxi - 2% 10% 27% 37% 21% 3%
71 DHAIYA Tanya 7% 27% 37% 22% 5% < 1% -
72 CAMPBELL Eva - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
73 ABUELFUTUH Sama - 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
74 CAVNAR Peyton 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
75 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
76 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
77 CAMAMA Tessa 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
78 FLITMAN Gabrielle 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
79 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
80 GORNOVSKY Abigail - 7% 32% 47% 12% 1% -
81 XU Serena - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
82 MARTINEZ Christina 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% - -
83 BEZUGLAYA Varvara - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
84 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
85 FRANGER Macy - 1% 7% 24% 38% 24% 5%
86 BALAZS Luca 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
87 BUSH emma 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 6% 1%
88 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
89 WU Jessica 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 6% -
90 NING Miranda 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
91 HOLDEN Helena 3% 17% 37% 33% 9% 1%
92 RICHARDSON Meredith 2% 20% 46% 26% 5% -
93 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
94 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
95 XU Yvette - 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
96 MARTYNOVA Diana - 3% 14% 34% 34% 14% 1%
97 WANG Sophie Y. 7% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
98 SHEFFIELD Skye 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
99 MENDOZA zoie 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
100 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
101 XIONG Angelica - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
102 BOROTKO Katerina 5% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
103 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
104 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
105 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. - - 4% 19% 40% 31% 6%
106 BECKMAN Ana - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
106 HERNASA Anna 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
108 PRESMAN Aerin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
109 ADYANTHAYA Anika 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
110 NGUYEN Audrey 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
111 ZANGA Kaitlyn - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
112 LEE Camilla 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
113 WATTANAKIT Anda 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
114 AZMEH nour - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
115 LAW Mila 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
116 MYRAH Vivienne 5% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
116 HUREL Bertille - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18% 1%
118 KLIMENKO Anna - 6% 24% 41% 26% 3%
119 KUNJAN Lena R. - 1% 10% 36% 39% 13%
120 SU Evelyn 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
121 HEPLER Sarah 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
122 NEMETH Katherine - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
123 KANASKAR Ila 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
124 WEBER Nora - 3% 15% 35% 36% 10% 1%
124 LEE Olivia 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
126 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. - 1% 5% 23% 41% 27% 4%
126 BEATIE Isabella M. 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
128 CHOY LeeAnn - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
129 SMOTRITSKY Mia - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
130 KIM Zoe L. - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
130 LIN Isabel 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
132 KALGAONKAR Arohi 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
132 FENG Iris 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
134 WANG Karen - - - 1% 10% 39% 49%
135 RICHARDS Axelle 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
136 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
137 GANSER Nicole 6% 32% 44% 16% 1% - -
138 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
139 MILLETTE Marie Frederique - - 1% 7% 31% 50% 11%
140 WONG Caitlin 5% 25% 39% 25% 6% -
141 KAUR Manroop 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
142 ZHAO Alina 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
143 WANG Jessie 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
144 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 15% 50% 29% 5% - -
145 MENG Fina 58% 36% 6% - - -
146 LIANG Jingjing 17% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
147 SWENSON Nikita G. - 3% 17% 36% 34% 10%
149 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% -
150 GOH Cayla 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
151 XIAO Nancy 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
152 SUN Karolyn 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
152 HAUSHEER Kuncen 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
154 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 23% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
155 SCHMITT Harper 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
156 SMUK Daria A. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
157 JEYOON Lauren 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
158 LI Caroline 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
159 XU Jessica 1% 11% 33% 38% 15% 2% -
160 RADOV Una 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -
161 WELLS Tesla M. - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
162 WANG Chloe 3% 29% 40% 22% 6% 1% -
163 GAAFAR Rodaina - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
164 LEE Gloria Y. 10% 32% 36% 18% 3% - -
165 SUN Hanya 4% 25% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
166 WANG Trinity 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
167 NGUYEN Ella 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
168 JOYCE Michaela - - < 1% 3% 30% 49% 17%
168 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
168 LI Fei 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
171 MISHIMA Audrey 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
171 MAENG Gloria 46% 40% 12% 1% - - -
173 LEVKOV Maita 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
174 JIANG Serena 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
175 MCQUEEN Morgan 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
175 KROTZ Gemma 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
177 BISONO Valentina 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
178 MA Sophie 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
179 MOHAN Riya 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
180 DALEY Keira 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
181 PROKOP Jeannine A. 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
182 SCHULTZ Gillian 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
182 WANG Chantal 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
182 ELTERMAN Kate 14% 38% 34% 12% 2% - -
185 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
186 TAM Connie 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
187 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 1% 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% -
187 STERR Isabella M. - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 3%
187 CHEN Alina 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
190 IYER Ishana 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
191 KONG Mila W. 7% 31% 40% 19% 3% - -
191 ZHAN Clare 49% 38% 12% 2% - - -
191 YOUN Kylie 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
194 GARCIA Aly 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
195 NORCONK Claire R. - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3%
196 LEE Eden 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
197 SWENSON Alexandra 23% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
197 BURT Emmalyne Grace 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
197 XU Emily (Hua) 54% 38% 8% - - - -
200 FOMINA Polina 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
201 WALTER Anna 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
202 HANSEN Kira - 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
204 ZHENG Erin 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
205 DING Xiaoxi 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
206 LI Nicole 79% 19% 2% - - - -
207 DAVIS Jennifer 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
208 STERN Savannah 10% 42% 38% 9% - - -
209 CHEN Ava 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
210 HOAGLAND Sally 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
210 UST Daisy 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
212 BROWN Amanda 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
213 LIU Elinda 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
214 PETROFF Eva 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.