February NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 5%
3 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
5 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
6 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
8 YAO Melinda 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
9 TOLSMA Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
10 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
11 LEE REGINA 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
12 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 4%
13 SHIV Avni 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
14 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 20%
15 LEE Sumin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
16 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
17 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
18 CHI Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
19 ELSTON Sophie 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 18% 2%
20 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
21 WANG Zoe 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
22 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 46% 9%
22 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
24 YANG Hanting(Catherine) 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
26 PROFIS Liora 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
27 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
29 YILMAZ Pinar 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 5%
30 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 9% 1%
31 LEE Claire 100% 98% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
32 CHI Zoe 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
33 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
34 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
35 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
36 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
37 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
38 SOBUS Yanka 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 7%
39 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
39 WU Michelle 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
41 LAI Amanda 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% < 1% -
42 LISCUM Vivian 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1%
43 YOUNG VIVIAN 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 50% 11%
44 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
45 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
46 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
47 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
48 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 34%
49 MAO Amy 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 58% 18%
50 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
51 LEE Scarlett 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
52 CARRIER Meredith 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
53 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
54 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
55 LEE Natasha 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
56 MENG YIFAN 100% 97% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
57 LONADIER Keira 100% 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
58 NGUYEN Renee 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
59 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
60 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
61 QI Julieanne 100% 99% 90% 62% 22% 2%
62 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
63 ILYAS Ayah 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
64 AI Amy 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
65 CANDREVA Greta H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
66 SONG Angela 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 4%
67 FENG Ge (Catherine) 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
68 BEAVER Ava 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% < 1%
69 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
70 GUO Luxi 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 24% 3%
71 DHAIYA Tanya 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% < 1% -
72 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
73 ABUELFUTUH Sama 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
74 CAVNAR Peyton 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
75 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
76 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
77 CAMAMA Tessa 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
78 FLITMAN Gabrielle 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
79 ANEZIOKORO Zahra 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
80 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 93% 60% 13% 1% -
81 XU Serena 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
82 MARTINEZ Christina 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
83 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
84 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
85 FRANGER Macy 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
86 BALAZS Luca 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
87 BUSH emma 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
88 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
89 WU Jessica 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
90 NING Miranda 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
91 HOLDEN Helena 100% 97% 80% 43% 10% 1%
92 RICHARDSON Meredith 100% 98% 78% 31% 6% -
93 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
94 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 11%
95 XU Yvette 100% 100% 94% 72% 32% 5%
96 MARTYNOVA Diana 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
97 WANG Sophie Y. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
98 SHEFFIELD Skye 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
99 MENDOZA zoie 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
100 WANG Ziqiao (Claire) 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
101 XIONG Angelica 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
102 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
103 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
104 DESANTIS-IBANEZ Elena 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
105 DUNLAP-SMITH Azaline I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
106 BECKMAN Ana 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
106 HERNASA Anna 100% 99% 88% 62% 27% 6% 1%
108 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
109 ADYANTHAYA Anika 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% - -
110 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
111 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
112 LEE Camilla 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
113 WATTANAKIT Anda 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
114 AZMEH nour 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
115 LAW Mila 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
116 MYRAH Vivienne 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
116 HUREL Bertille 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
118 KLIMENKO Anna 100% 100% 93% 69% 28% 3%
119 KUNJAN Lena R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
120 SU Evelyn 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
121 HEPLER Sarah 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
122 NEMETH Katherine 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
123 KANASKAR Ila 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
124 WEBER Nora 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11% 1%
124 LEE Olivia 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 5% -
126 MARTINEZ HANSEN Dayana C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 4%
126 BEATIE Isabella M. 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
128 CHOY LeeAnn 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
129 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
130 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
130 LIN Isabel 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
132 KALGAONKAR Arohi 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
132 FENG Iris 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
134 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
135 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
136 XU Sunia (Tai Yang) 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
137 GANSER Nicole 100% 94% 62% 18% 1% - -
138 KUDRYAVTSEVA Margarita 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
139 MILLETTE Marie Frederique 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 11%
140 WONG Caitlin 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
141 KAUR Manroop 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
142 ZHAO Alina 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
143 WANG Jessie 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
144 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 100% 85% 34% 6% - -
145 MENG Fina 100% 42% 6% - - -
146 LIANG Jingjing 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
147 SWENSON Nikita G. 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 10%
149 KROPP Anne (Charlie) 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
150 GOH Cayla 100% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
151 XIAO Nancy 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% 1%
152 SUN Karolyn 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
152 HAUSHEER Kuncen 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
154 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
155 SCHMITT Harper 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
156 SMUK Daria A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
157 JEYOON Lauren 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
158 LI Caroline 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
159 XU Jessica 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
160 RADOV Una 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
161 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
162 WANG Chloe 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
163 GAAFAR Rodaina 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
164 LEE Gloria Y. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
165 SUN Hanya 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
166 WANG Trinity 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
167 NGUYEN Ella 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
168 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66% 17%
168 POTAPENKO Margarita D. 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
168 LI Fei 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% 1%
171 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
171 MAENG Gloria 100% 54% 14% 1% - - -
173 LEVKOV Maita 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
174 JIANG Serena 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
175 MCQUEEN Morgan 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
175 KROTZ Gemma 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
177 BISONO Valentina 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
178 MA Sophie 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
179 MOHAN Riya 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
180 DALEY Keira 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% - -
181 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 3% -
182 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
182 WANG Chantal 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
182 ELTERMAN Kate 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% - -
185 SUN Zeyu (Cathy) 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
186 TAM Connie 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
187 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4% -
187 STERR Isabella M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 3%
187 CHEN Alina 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% - -
190 IYER Ishana 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
191 KONG Mila W. 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
191 ZHAN Clare 100% 51% 14% 2% - - -
191 YOUN Kylie 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
194 GARCIA Aly 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
195 NORCONK Claire R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
196 LEE Eden 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
197 SWENSON Alexandra 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
197 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
197 XU Emily (Hua) 100% 46% 8% - - - -
200 FOMINA Polina 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
201 WALTER Anna 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
202 HANSEN Kira 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
204 ZHENG Erin 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
205 DING Xiaoxi 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
206 LI Nicole 100% 21% 2% - - - -
207 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
208 STERN Savannah 100% 90% 47% 10% - - -
209 CHEN Ava 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
210 HOAGLAND Sally 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
210 UST Daisy 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
212 BROWN Amanda 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
213 LIU Elinda 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
214 PETROFF Eva 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.