2019 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 26, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LARSEN Samuel F. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
2 RAYLE Evan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
3 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 6%
5 JONES Tristan Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
6 VOLKMANN Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 51%
7 FERGUSON Ross A. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
8 DUCHOW Benjamin W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
9 BODON Michele I. 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
10 MASON Alexander T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
11 ROY Joseph T. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
12 SLATER Jay N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
14 NEALE James H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
15 LEI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
16 PALACIOS Justin M. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
17 JENSEN David 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
18 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 7%
19 WALLACE Patric 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
20 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
21 MENEGOLI Lorenzo 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
22 LOEFFLER Carl 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 10% 1%
23 CRANOR Erich L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 16% 2%
24 MCGAW Julian E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
25 FULLER George K. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
26 RWAMASHONGYE Alexander J. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
27 JOHNSON Lucas W. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
28 STOLZ Robert 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 19%
29 BU Xianchen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
30 SEGAL Mark N. 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8% 1%
31 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
32 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
33 VARNEY John R. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
34 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
35 CHANDLER Paul F. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
36 JOHNSON Jeff 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
37 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
38 LUEDECKE Myles A. 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
39 MEHALL Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
40 FRANK Fred 100% 99% 87% 52% 15% 1%
41 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
42 CLAUSEN Matthew J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
43 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Andres E. 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
44 GREEN Joshua 100% 98% 78% 39% 10% 1%
45 EVANS Allen L. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
46 BLISS Atticus H. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
47 STOCK Jordan 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
48 CRASWELL Andrew J. 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1%
49 KILUK Andrew 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
50 LAWLER Aidan 100% 97% 70% 29% 5% -
51 DUCHOW Matthew D. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
52 KING Richard (Dick) M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 6% 1%
53 WALKER William H. 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
54 DEO Ameya 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
55 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
56 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
57 LI Brian X 100% 93% 68% 31% 8% 1%
58 FLY Paul 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
59 KOERBER Christopher T. 100% 90% 55% 17% 3% - -
60 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
61 CHOI Isaac 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
62 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
63 MUNOZ Charles O. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
64 BERTONE Charles A. 100% 27% 3% - - -
65 JEARY Sean 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
66 JACOBSON Kristian 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
67 KLEIN Johannes 100% 90% 47% 9% 1% -
68 PENG Gregory 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
69 FREDRICKSON Eli 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
70 WESTMAAS Jonathan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
72 GRIDLEY Dustin 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
73 KIM Dan 100% 37% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.