William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DIMMETT David C. | V V V V V D | V V V V V | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 2 | BAGHA Armin | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | OWEN Michael D. | V V V D V D | V V V D | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| 3 | ROBERTS Phoenix | V V V D V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | DILDA Griffin | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | STRAFFORD Andrew | V V D V V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 7 | SAAL Anna | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | SO Lorenzo | V D D D V D | V V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 9 | MONTESI Eric | V V V V D V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | WATSON Raymond | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | BARTON Henry | V V V V D D | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 12 | BAYUS Oliver | D D V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 13 | BOZARTH Alex | V D D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 14 | MILLER Luke | D V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | FOREST Sung | V D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 16 | SHELLY Emery | D D D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 17 | BENUCCI Vincent | V V V V D V | D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 18 | RAWSON Nicholas | D V V V D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | PRAKASH Rahul | D V V D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 20 | FEAGIN Patrick | V D D V V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 21 | SIMS Martin L. | D V D D V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 22 | MILLNER Brian | D V V D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 23 | SCHAPIRO Jacob | V V D D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 24 | ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. | D D V D V D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 25 | SU Jingbo | D D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | IYER Matthias | D V D V D D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 27 | KELLEY Nathan | D D V D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 28 | NANAYAKKARA Damin | D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 29 | MCCLEAN III Walter F. | D D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 30 | PANE Patrick | V D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 31 | RAGSDALE Lillian | D D D D V D | V D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 32 | SMITHSON Matthew | V D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 33 | ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. | D D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| 34 | DROLET Julia | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of victory |
|---|---|---|
| Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Roughly even | 40% to 60% | |
| Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
This visual map of the competition helps to understand:
Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.