William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DIMMETT David C. | V V V V V D | V V V V V | 5.3 | 5 | -0.3 |
| 2 | BAGHA Armin | V V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.9 | 6 | +1.1 |
| 3 | OWEN Michael D. | V V V D V D | V V V D | 5.5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| 3 | ROBERTS Phoenix | V V V D V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 5 | DILDA Griffin | D V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | STRAFFORD Andrew | V V D V V D | V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 7 | SAAL Anna | V D V D V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | SO Lorenzo | V D D D V D | V V D | 4.4 | 2 | -2.4 |
| 9 | MONTESI Eric | V V V V D V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | WATSON Raymond | V V V V V D | V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 11 | BARTON Henry | V V V V D D | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 12 | BAYUS Oliver | D D V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 13 | BOZARTH Alex | V D D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 14 | MILLER Luke | D V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 15 | FOREST Sung | V D V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 16 | SHELLY Emery | D D D D D V | V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 17 | BENUCCI Vincent | V V V V D V | D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 18 | RAWSON Nicholas | D V V V D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | PRAKASH Rahul | D V V D V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 20 | FEAGIN Patrick | V D D V V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 21 | SIMS Martin L. | D V D D V V | D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 22 | MILLNER Brian | D V V D V D | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 23 | SCHAPIRO Jacob | V V D D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 24 | ANDERSON Jr. Danny R. | D D V D V D | D | 3.8 | 2 | -1.8 |
| 25 | SU Jingbo | D D D V D V | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 26 | IYER Matthias | D V D V D D | D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 27 | KELLEY Nathan | D D V D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 28 | NANAYAKKARA Damin | D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 29 | MCCLEAN III Walter F. | D D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 30 | PANE Patrick | V D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| 31 | RAGSDALE Lillian | D D D D V D | V D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 32 | SMITHSON Matthew | V D D D D D | V D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 33 | ANDERSON Sr. Danny R. | D D D D D D | D | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 |
| 34 | DROLET Julia | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.