Mission RYC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
2 KIM Henry 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 26% 5%
3 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
5 HENNESSY Levon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
6 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
7 WU Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
8 LOPATIN Sergei 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
9 TANG Colin 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 3%
10 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
11 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
12 LIN John 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
13 TUNG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 2%
14 GAO Ryan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
15 LIN Lucas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 2%
16 LI Tyrese 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
17 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
18 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
19 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 10%
20 KO Ethan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
21 HUEMMER James 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
22 JIN Noah 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
23 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
24 TANG Jayce 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
24 TOMPA Paul 100% 100% 88% 56% 20% 4% -
26 CHEN Jayden A 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5% -
27 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 94% 55% 16% 2% - -
28 JIANG Aidan 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
29 PARISH-MORRIS Jay 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
30 JHUNJHUNWALA Milan 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
31 CIANCHETTA David 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% - -
32 SHAO Mason 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
33 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
34 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5% -
35 JEPP Michael 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% -
36 LEE Elijah 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
37 LEE Asher 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4% -
38 YOU Emmanuel 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
39 MATHEW Benjamin 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
40 YADAV Aarav 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
41 LAI Jaxon 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
42 CHEN Caleb 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
43 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
44 WAGNER Miles 100% 34% 5% - - -
45 CHAN Aiden 100% 99% 88% 45% 6% - -
45 JIANG Jaden 100% 99% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
47 DALY Liam 100% 19% 1% - - - -
48 HENRY Arthur 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.