TFC Feb II 2026 Fence-a-thon

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Claire - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
2 CHUNG Lucas - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
3 CHEN Chloe 3% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2%
3 LEE Reiden 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
5 HO Karsten - 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
6 HE Andrew 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
7 SIN Chad 19% 43% 30% 7% -
8 MARENITCH Kara - 3% 14% 34% 35% 13%
9 KIM Olivia - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
10 CHANG George 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
11 CHANG Audrey 17% 39% 32% 11% 1%
11 YUAN Vincent 2% 15% 35% 35% 12%
13 PARK Jackson - 2% 11% 29% 38% 19%
14 SURENDRA Nivan - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
15 TAN Austin 1% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
16 XU Evan 5% 22% 39% 28% 7%
17 FUNG Andrew 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
18 YANG Ariel 36% 42% 18% 4% - -
19 XIE Caden 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
20 GALANG Audrina 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
21 LEE Ethan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
22 CHANG Theodore 1% 7% 25% 38% 25% 5%
23 GUO Antong 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
24 RUAN Alexander 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
25 LI Shaun 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
26 HOU Alice 16% 41% 33% 9% 1% -
27 CHEN Kayla X. 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
28 HE Lucas < 1% 5% 28% 44% 22%
29 TSAI Albert 10% 38% 37% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.