9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WONG Isabelle 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 WANG Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
3 YANG Nina 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
3 RONG Hilary 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
5 SHIH Eva 100% 100% 94% 66% 20% 1%
6 CHONG Emma 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
7 HWANG Faith 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
8 ZHANG JINGRU 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 56%
9 YAO Astrid 100% 98% 79% 39% 8% -
10 WANG Elizabeth 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
11 SHIH Cayla 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
12 FARMER Kennley 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% -
13 FARIAS Liana 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 6%
14 CHOW Jolene 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
15 HAN Yuna 100% 89% 46% 11% 1% -
16 KIM EMMA 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 4%
17 SONG Esther W 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 1%
18 LEE Katherine 100% 91% 52% 14% 1% -
19 ZHANG ANGELA 100% 97% 74% 29% 4% -
20 DEMIRCHIAN Ella 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
21 CALLAN Lily 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
22 KIM Hailey 100% 45% 9% 1% - -
23 FELDMAN Collette 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
24 CHUN Melody 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.