9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARKE Nathaniel - 1% 8% 26% 41% 25%
2 RONG Gordon - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
3 WU Johnny y. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
3 VOO Lucas - - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
5 KIM Remington - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 9%
6 YAO Tristan - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
7 XUE Michael - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 6%
8 DU Evan - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
9 RONG Marcus 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
10 NGUYEN Ethan V. 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
11 SCHERZAY Ian - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
12 MOSLEY Wally 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 5%
13 SCHWITZER Eliot 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 SARMIENTO Luke 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
15 PARRA Lucas - 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
16 WANG Dylan 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
17 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
18 GUO Woody - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
19 PORIKLI Sedat - 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
21 HAMILTON Travis 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
22 TOUSSAINT Wizard 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
23 WALSH Landon 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2%
24 CHIEN Ian 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
25 WANG Lucas 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
26 YUN Nicholas 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
27 ROBINSON Dax - 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
28 SCHNEIDER Ronan 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
29 MENG Haoyi 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
30 WAGY Zeke 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
31 SHIH Derek 38% 41% 17% 4% - -
32 HOBBS Fineas 91% 8% - - - - -
33 FRANCK Nicholas 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
34 MAI Sy 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.