9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
2 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
3 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
5 KIM Remington 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 9%
6 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
7 XUE Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
8 DU Evan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
9 RONG Marcus 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
10 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 10% 1%
11 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
12 MOSLEY Wally 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
13 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
14 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
15 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 5% -
16 WANG Dylan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% 1%
17 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
18 GUO Woody 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
19 PORIKLI Sedat 100% 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
21 HAMILTON Travis 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
22 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
23 WALSH Landon 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2%
24 CHIEN Ian 100% 91% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
25 WANG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
26 YUN Nicholas 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
27 ROBINSON Dax 100% 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
28 SCHNEIDER Ronan 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -
29 MENG Haoyi 100% 99% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
30 WAGY Zeke 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
31 SHIH Derek 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
32 HOBBS Fineas 100% 9% - - - - -
33 FRANCK Nicholas 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
34 MAI Sy 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.