The Winter's Edge Open

Unrated Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:30 AM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIKORA Jonathan M. 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 1%
2 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 74% 29% 5% < 1%
3 SMITH Katherine E. 100% 72% 25% 4% - < 1%
3 GU Jonathan 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% < 1%
5 GLASS Kameron 100% 100% 94% 62% 8%
6 SATTERLY Avery 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
7 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
8 LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 2%
9 GULCZINSKI Jill-Renae 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
10 BAUER Claire 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
11 SHULER Kiefer 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 3%
12 ALLEN David M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
13 HAINES Holly 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
14 MESSMANN Brandon 100% 97% 79% 47% 16% 2%
15 NEUMANN Nathaniel 100% 100% 94% 70% 27%
16 ORTIZ Aries 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
17 EDWARDS Tim 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
18 BLAASE Tiffany 100% 78% 32% 5% -
20 BROWN Emma Rose 100% 98% 84% 46% 11% 1%
21 BARO Carlos 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
22 BAKER Shannon 100% 99% 81% 37% 6%
23 SUSNER Lisa 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
24 CAMPBELL Hannah 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.