The Winter's Edge Open

Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 10:30 AM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
2 METZ Evan 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
3 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 32%
3 TRAN John 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
5 EDWARDS Tim 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 30%
5 TOMASI John 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
7 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 12%
8 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
9 STAUBITZ Marc 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
10 MUDD Dakota 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7% -
11 MCNARY Ross 100% 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
12 TERRILL Luke 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
13 ANDERSON Noah 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 3%
14 WILLIAMS Jacob 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
15 BATES Madison 100% 97% 68% 25% 5% - -
15 GILL Anhad 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
17 ICE McKenna 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% -
18 WALKER Derek 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
19 NEUMANN Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
19 KINCAID Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
21 GIVAN Cury 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
22 INGRIM Adellia 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
23 DURR Anna 100% 67% 19% 2% - - -
24 HARPER Harper 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
25 SMITH Ever 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
26 CRAFT David M. 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1% -
27 LAGONA Anna 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
28 DUTTON Kimberly 100% 34% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.