The Winter's Edge Open

Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
2 XIE Ethan 100% 100% 98% 81% 30% 2%
3 ZHAO Zhiyong 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
3 TOMASI John 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63%
5 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 93% 66% 27% 4%
6 METZ Evan 100% 90% 56% 17% 1%
7 SIKORA Jonathan M. 100% 100% 95% 64% 19%
8 BATES Austin 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 14%
9 MUMFORD Josh 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 18%
10 DEPP Edward 100% 100% 98% 72% 19% 1%
11 GLASS Kameron 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 5%
12 GU Jonathan 100% 95% 61% 20% 2% -
13 REDEMANN Reagan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
14 SATTERLY Avery 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% -
15 LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
16 ORTIZ Aries 100% 87% 28% 3% - -
17 SMITH Katherine E. 100% 86% 35% 7% 1% -
18 GENOVESE Isaac 100% 99% 82% 27% 1% -
19 BARO Carlos 100% 99% 90% 55% 10% -
20 REDEMANN Shawn 100% 93% 60% 18% 1%
21 TOMASI Samantha 100% 89% 47% 9% 1% -
22 BRENNER Ava 100% 81% 35% 3% - -
23 CAMPBELL Hannah 100% 49% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.