Ataba Fencing Club February Challenge

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BROCK Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
2 GRANSTROM Colin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33% 4%
3 NASSOS Eric 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
3 MURALIDARAN Rishab 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
5 SWANSON Dave 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29% 4%
6 SNYDER Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 23%
7 WEAVER Edward 100% 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 13%
8 DELA CRUZ Noel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
9 LOHR-KOUGL Eadrick 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
10 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
11 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 5%
12 STEINEKE Warren 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
13 KATZMAN Anara 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
14 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
15 HONERMEIER Max 100% 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% -
16 BERTRAND Reece 100% 100% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
17 AMICH Steve J. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
18 PRONIEWSKI Julian 100% 68% 25% 4% - - -
19 JOYCE Brady 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
20 FOATE Bryton 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
21 KELTY Chase 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
22 NIXON Bailey 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
23 ENGE Sutton 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
24 ALLER Bruce 100% 56% 13% 2% - - -
24 COLUCCI Isabella 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
26 BOEMBEKE Maxwell 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% - -
27 SATHIYAMOORTHY Vikranth 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
28 DORNFELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
29 RUTH Erin 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
30 ZHANG Eric 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1% -
31 KOWALSKI Jesse 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
32 PROCTO Steven 100% 99% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
33 PATE Luke 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
34 BOEMBEKE Amelia 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
35 SKILLINGS Byron 100% 76% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.