9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Women's Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOROWITZ Shuli - - - 3% 17% 41% 39%
2 WU Chingfei Amber - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
3 LI Alice - - - 1% 7% 39% 53%
3 LIU Ashley - - 2% 22% 47% 28%
5 CHOI Jion - - - 2% 14% 43% 40%
6 HSIAO Ariya - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
7 ZHOU Joi - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
8 RUI Jessie - - 1% 7% 29% 45% 18%
9 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - - - 5% 30% 64%
10 SAIFEE Zahra 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% < 1%
11 KIM Natalie - 2% 9% 25% 35% 24% 5%
12 FANG Kelervia - - 1% 5% 25% 50% 19%
13 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 5% 32% 45% 17%
14 PARK Lauren - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
15 DENG Claire - - 5% 20% 39% 30% 5%
16 YANG Hanli - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
17 ZEE Savannah - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
18 WANG Doreen 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1%
19 SAIFEE Sakina 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
20 CHEN Madeleine 2% 15% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
21 TU Averie 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
22 LEE Abigail - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
23 LI Chelsea - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
24 CHUNG Katie 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
25 HAN Gian - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
26 CHOI Sophie - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
27 YUEN Kaitlyn 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
28 DEJOY Leilah 36% 43% 17% 3% - - -
29 ZHANG Queeny 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
30 SHEN Gloria 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
31 LIM Kensie - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
32 BASTUNAS Marissa 15% 53% 27% 5% - - -
33 SANTIAGO Rania 27% 52% 20% 2% < 1% -
34 LI Sophia 7% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
35 ZHANG Hannah - 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
36 TEWARI Amaira - 2% 17% 38% 32% 10% 1%
37 HAYLETT Emily - 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
38 LAVERY Lucy 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
39 PAWAR Sanvi 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
40 WANG Ellen 5% 30% 39% 21% 5% - -
41 IRELAND Moira 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
42 YANG Byanca 44% 45% 10% - - -
43 YU Sophie - 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
44 GOWDA Siyona - 6% 31% 40% 19% 4% -
45 DESAI Zoya 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5% -
46 KIM Ines 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
47 VOROBIEV Alexandra 4% 29% 51% 15% 2% -
48 OLSHANSKY Dalia 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2% -
49 JONES Olivia 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
50 SOUSA Lauren 64% 32% 4% - - - -
51 YAO Abby < 1% - 4% 30% 46% 19%
52 BHANGOO Paloma 13% 38% 33% 13% 2% - -
53 RENGANATHAN Krithiga 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
53 HANEY-DANIEL Quinlyn 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
55 OH Amber 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.