9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERTEL Florian 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1%
2 DU Evan - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 PARRA Lucas - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 3%
3 KIM Daniel - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
5 LIANG Donny - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 24%
5 MOSLEY Wally - 2% 10% 25% 35% 23% 6%
7 ONG David - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
8 LEE Lucas - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
9 WOO Lucas - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
10 MENG Haoyi 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
11 XUE Michael - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
12 WANG Lucas - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
13 ENG Kyler 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
14 NGUYEN Ethan V. - 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
15 LIN Bryan 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
16 KIM Remington - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
17 RONG Gordon - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
18 DENG Destin - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
19 LEUNG Dylan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
20 HAMILTON Travis - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
21 MAXU Tiger - 2% 10% 28% 37% 21% 3%
22 TOUSSAINT Wizard 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
23 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
24 RONG Marcus 1% 5% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
25 CHIEN Ian 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
26 SHOURIE Neel 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
27 LIU Xuyao 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
28 SUN Jerry - 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1%
29 JU Shang 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
30 FRANCK Nicholas 5% 28% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
31 ZHANG Michael - 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
32 MAI Sy 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
33 WANG Dylan - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
34 SHOURIE Seth 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
35 LIU Yihong 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
36 SHIH Derek 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
37 TRAN Thomas 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
38 SHETTY Rohit 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
39 ROLAND Nikolas 41% 40% 15% 3% - - -
40 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
41 KOU Mason 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
42 HOBBS Fineas 89% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.