9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BERTEL Florian 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%
2 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
3 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
3 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
5 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 24%
5 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
7 ONG David 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
8 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
9 WOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
10 MENG Haoyi 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
11 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 24%
12 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
13 ENG Kyler 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
14 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
15 LIN Bryan 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
16 KIM Remington 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
17 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
18 DENG Destin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
19 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
20 HAMILTON Travis 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
21 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
22 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
23 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
24 RONG Marcus 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
25 CHIEN Ian 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
26 SHOURIE Neel 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
27 LIU Xuyao 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
28 SUN Jerry 100% 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1%
29 JU Shang 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
30 FRANCK Nicholas 100% 95% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
31 ZHANG Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
32 MAI Sy 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
33 WANG Dylan 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
34 SHOURIE Seth 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
35 LIU Yihong 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
36 SHIH Derek 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
37 TRAN Thomas 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
38 SHETTY Rohit 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
39 ROLAND Nikolas 100% 59% 19% 3% - - -
40 AUYEUNG Aedan Ho lam 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
41 KOU Mason 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
42 HOBBS Fineas 100% 11% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.