Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GUTH Joseph 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48% 9%
2 LI Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
5 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 LI Arvin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 31%
7 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
8 SMITH Liam C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50%
9 MAGIDSON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
11 MARTIN Darius 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
12 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 84% 40% 4%
13 JOSEPH Willem 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57% 12%
14 WU DING-JUN 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
15 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30% 4%
16 LIM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
17 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 3%
18 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 9% 1%
19 ZHANG Julian 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2% -
20 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 99% 86% 43% 10% 1% -
21 JIN Andy 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
22 XU Nathan 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
23 COZINE Owen N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
23 BAI Brian 100% 100% 98% 88% 52% 7%
25 BAI Austin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
26 JIMENEZ Naveen 100% 100% 99% 87% 42% 4%
27 CLARK Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
28 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 95% 65% 17% 2% -
29 WONG Jacob W. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% 1%
30 CHO Xzander 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 8% 1%
31 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
32 BERETICH Brian 100% 98% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
33 ZHAO Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
34 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 18% 2%
35 HOU Gaven 100% 99% 85% 41% 5%
36 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
37 XIE Jicheng 100% 100% 99% 82% 35% 2%
38 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% 1%
39 TOOMRE Kai 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
40 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
41 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
42 SHANNON Jack 100% 98% 85% 50% 14% 1%
44 VIVEROS Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55% 5%
45 YANG David H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
46 CHANG Xavier 100% 96% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
47 QUAN Noah 100% 87% 35% 6% - - -
48 HOWARD Fox 100% 90% 24% 2% - -
49 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12% -
50 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
51 CHO Alexander 100% 94% 62% 21% 3% - -
52 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
53 TANG Jeremy 100% 85% 37% 6% - - -
54 TAM Kyle 100% 99% 83% 34% 5% - -
55 HUANG Jinyao 100% 85% 29% 3% - - -
56 ZHENG Austin 100% 70% 21% 2% -
57 PEREZ Logan 100% 98% 77% 32% 6% 1% -
58 REYES Yannik 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
59 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
60 QIAN Zekai 100% 93% 65% 26% 6% 1% -
61 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 94% 63% 25% 5% - -
62 OH Joshua 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
63 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 89% 39% 6% -
64 GALLER Dave 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
65 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
66 MCGREEVY Gavin 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
67 BULIN Jack 100% 37% 6% - - - -
69 SMITH Colin 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
70 CHANG Zane 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
71 ZHANG Ethan 100% 63% 16% 1% -
71 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 32% 3% - - - -
73 COREAS Jonathan 100% 31% 3% - - - -
74 TURCIOS Marvin 100% 43% 6% - - - -
75 BEGUE DE RIESTHAL Max 100% 18% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.