Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Matthew - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 10%
2 KLINKENBERG Patrick 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
3 JHA Adarsh - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
3 JOYNER Braylon 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
5 KIM Zac 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
6 ABEND James - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
7 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil - 1% 6% 24% 44% 25%
8 LI Ray - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
9 PAN Anthony - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
10 CLARE James - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
11 LIN Lucas 2% 11% 32% 37% 17% 1%
12 TUNG Charlie 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
13 CHAU Collin 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
14 ZUKOFSKY Zachary - - 4% 21% 43% 31%
15 SONPAL Winslow 5% 22% 38% 27% 8% -
16 MILLER Quinlan - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
17 SKLAR Davida - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
18 WHITE Aidan - 2% 10% 24% 34% 24% 7%
19 CHO Adrian - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
20 LIU Pan Iok 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
21 MANSFIELD Hunter 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 3%
22 TANG Colin 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
23 BANNEN Nicholas - 1% 8% 27% 40% 23%
24 LAU LUCAS 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
25 DATSON David - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
26 LI Tyrese 21% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
27 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - < 1% 2% 20% 78%
28 LEE Elijah 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
29 BROADBELT Kirk 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
30 STEVENS Owen 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1%
31 XIE Richard 9% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
32 MOORE James N. 15% 35% 31% 15% 4% - -
33 MELUCCI Jonathan 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
34 AU Joshua 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
35 CARMAN Elliot 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
36 JIANG Aidan 1% 30% 41% 21% 5% 1% -
37 WU Robert 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% -
38 LI Ryan - 2% 14% 33% 36% 15%
39 DEL BUONO Nick 41% 40% 16% 3% - -
40 KHERSONSKY Robert - 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2%
41 LIU Easun 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
42 YU Kenneth 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
43 JOSEPH Christophe F. 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
43 LEE Ryan 33% 42% 20% 5% 1% -
45 BONNEY Michael 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
46 HEISLER Maxfield 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
48 BARONE Anthony - 10% 32% 36% 17% 4% -
49 RICCOBONO Matthew - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
50 FOGEL Jake 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
51 AGUIRRE Pablo 5% 27% 38% 23% 6% 1%
52 DALY Liam 91% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.