Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
2 KLINKENBERG Patrick 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
3 JHA Adarsh 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
3 JOYNER Braylon 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
5 KIM Zac 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
6 ABEND James 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
8 LI Ray 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
9 PAN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
10 CLARE James 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
11 LIN Lucas 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
12 TUNG Charlie 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
13 CHAU Collin 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
14 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
15 SONPAL Winslow 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% -
16 MILLER Quinlan 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
17 SKLAR Davida 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
18 WHITE Aidan 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 7%
19 CHO Adrian 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
20 LIU Pan Iok 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
21 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
22 TANG Colin 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
23 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
24 LAU LUCAS 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
25 DATSON David 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
26 LI Tyrese 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
27 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
28 LEE Elijah 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
29 BROADBELT Kirk 100% 99% 90% 65% 33% 9% 1%
30 STEVENS Owen 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
31 XIE Richard 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
32 MOORE James N. 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% 1% -
33 MELUCCI Jonathan 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
34 AU Joshua 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
35 CARMAN Elliot 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
36 JIANG Aidan 100% 99% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
37 WU Robert 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
38 LI Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
39 DEL BUONO Nick 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
40 KHERSONSKY Robert 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
41 LIU Easun 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
42 YU Kenneth 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
43 JOSEPH Christophe F. 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
43 LEE Ryan 100% 67% 26% 5% 1% -
45 BONNEY Michael 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
46 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
48 BARONE Anthony 100% 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
49 RICCOBONO Matthew 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
50 FOGEL Jake 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
51 AGUIRRE Pablo 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1%
52 DALY Liam 100% 9% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.