Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 MENG YIFAN - - 1% 12% 47% 41%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. - - - - 5% 29% 66%
3 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
5 KLAUSZ Izabella - 5% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
6 WELLS Tesla M. - - 1% 16% 48% 35%
7 FURMAN Maria - - 3% 20% 47% 29%
8 NOVOJILOV Anastasia - 1% 12% 48% 33% 6%
9 JU Jennifer - 6% 30% 47% 15% 1%
10 GONG SIYU - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
11 WONG Sydney - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 BRAGG Leah - - 1% 15% 51% 33%
13 MEYER Rachel 3% 19% 43% 28% 6% -
14 NING Miranda - 6% 28% 44% 19% 3%
15 GARCIA Aly 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 XIAO Katelyn 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
17 LAW Mila - 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
18 BOROTKO Katerina - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
19 LI Yixin Catherine - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
20 CAMPBELL Anahit M. - - 2% 19% 49% 30%
21 KOVALCHUK Erika S. - - 3% 17% 42% 34% 4%
22 VENKATESAN Harshitha - - 5% 23% 44% 26% 2%
23 ZHENG Kristen 1% 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% -
24 PETRIZZO Anna 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
25 MEYER Rebecca 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3%
26 ZHENG Erin - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 1%
27 YU Livia 4% 29% 50% 15% 1% -
28 ALVAREZ Martine 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
29 SHEIKH PAREE 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
30 YANAGIDA Coco 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
31 IVANOV Angela-Sophie - 6% 27% 42% 21% 3% -
32 ORDORICA Abra 22% 48% 25% 4% - -
33 LAU Karina 28% 51% 19% 1% - -
34 HSU Catherine 5% 33% 44% 16% 2% -
35 BUES Caelan 42% 46% 12% 1% - -
36 DUNNE Jessica 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% -
37 ZHANG Anna 58% 35% 7% - - -
38 FOMINA Polina 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
39 WESTERFELD Zoey 69% 27% 4% - - - -
40 FOUDA Habeeba 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
41 CHEN Sunny 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
42 ERIKSEN Kate 8% 40% 40% 12% 1% -
43 CHEN Sarah 7% 43% 37% 11% 1% - -
44 VITEVITCH Sophia 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.