Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEREGIN Katya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 MENG YIFAN 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
3 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
5 KLAUSZ Izabella 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
6 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 35%
7 FURMAN Maria 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
8 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 87% 39% 6%
9 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 93% 63% 16% 1%
10 GONG SIYU 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
11 WONG Sydney 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 BRAGG Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 33%
13 MEYER Rachel 100% 97% 78% 35% 7% -
14 NING Miranda 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 3%
15 GARCIA Aly 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 2%
16 XIAO Katelyn 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
17 LAW Mila 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
18 BOROTKO Katerina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 3%
19 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
20 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 30%
21 KOVALCHUK Erika S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 4%
22 VENKATESAN Harshitha 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28% 2%
23 ZHENG Kristen 100% 99% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
24 PETRIZZO Anna 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
25 MEYER Rebecca 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
26 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 1%
27 YU Livia 100% 96% 67% 16% 1% -
28 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
29 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
30 YANAGIDA Coco 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
31 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 3% -
32 ORDORICA Abra 100% 78% 29% 5% - -
33 LAU Karina 100% 72% 21% 2% - -
34 HSU Catherine 100% 95% 62% 18% 2% -
35 BUES Caelan 100% 58% 12% 1% - -
36 DUNNE Jessica 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% -
37 ZHANG Anna 100% 42% 7% - - -
38 FOMINA Polina 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
39 WESTERFELD Zoey 100% 31% 4% - - - -
40 FOUDA Habeeba 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
41 CHEN Sunny 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
42 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 92% 53% 12% 1% -
43 CHEN Sarah 100% 93% 50% 13% 1% - -
44 VITEVITCH Sophia 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.