9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
2 XUE Michael - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
3 DU Evan - - - - 4% 27% 68%
3 MOSLEY Wally - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 22%
5 WHITE Ryden - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
6 ENG Kyler - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
7 LIN Bryan 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
8 DENG Destin - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 22%
9 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
10 YAO Tristan - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
11 SHOURIE Neel - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
12 RONG Marcus - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
13 BERTEL Florian - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
14 LEUNG Dylan - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
15 JU Shang 1% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7% 1%
16 NGUYEN Ethan V. - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
17 PARRA Lucas - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
18 LEE Lucas - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
19 KIM Daniel - 1% 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
20 CHIEN Ian - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
21 YOO Lucas - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
22 WU Nathan - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
23 NG Alexander - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
24 SUN Jerry 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
25 MAI Sy - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
25 YIM Antonio 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
27 SHIH Derek 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
28 WANG Lucas - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
29 SHOURIE Seth 2% 16% 36% 32% 12% 2%
30 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
31 GUO Jonathan 6% 23% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
32 LI Vance - 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
33 YI Alexander 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2%
34 HWANG Matthew - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
35 TAVERNA Matteo 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
36 TENG Eric 10% 42% 35% 11% 2% -
37 TOUSSAINT Wizard 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
39 TRAN Thomas 6% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
40 WONG Kyle - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 2%
41 TIAN Dylan 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
42 LIU Yihong - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
43 LIU Aiden 3% 20% 41% 28% 8% 1%
43 KONG William 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
45 HUANG Eason 8% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
46 FERRIERE Theo 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
47 YOON Ian 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
48 ONG David - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
49 NOLAN Morgan 6% 33% 38% 18% 4% - -
50 ELARDO Griffin 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
51 FU Benjamin - 5% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
52 KOU Mason 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
52 LIU William 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
54 CHU Clayton 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
55 SCHNEIDER Ronan 2% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1%
56 ZENG Aidrik 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
57 ZHAO Luke 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
58 KIM Hayden 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
59 LI Connor 5% 31% 39% 20% 5% 1% -
60 HAN Alex 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1% -
61 LO Stefan 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
62 PARK Sean 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
63 BROWN Sean 43% 41% 14% 2% - - -
64 NOZAWA Luke 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
65 MULDER Chasen 52% 37% 9% 1% - -
66 THOMPSON Luca 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
67 KOU Logan 65% 30% 5% - - - -
68 BALDWIN Liam 63% 31% 6% - - - -
69 KIM Benjamin 57% 34% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.