9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
2 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 22%
5 WHITE Ryden 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
6 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 LIN Bryan 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
8 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 22%
9 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
10 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
11 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
12 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
13 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 LEUNG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
15 JU Shang 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
16 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
17 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
18 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
19 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
20 CHIEN Ian 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
21 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
22 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
23 NG Alexander 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
24 SUN Jerry 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
25 MAI Sy 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 12% 1%
25 YIM Antonio 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
27 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
28 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
29 SHOURIE Seth 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
30 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
31 GUO Jonathan 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
32 LI Vance 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
33 YI Alexander 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2%
34 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
35 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
36 TENG Eric 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% -
37 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
39 TRAN Thomas 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
40 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 2%
41 TIAN Dylan 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
42 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
43 LIU Aiden 100% 97% 78% 37% 9% 1%
43 KONG William 100% 93% 67% 33% 9% 1% -
45 HUANG Eason 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
46 FERRIERE Theo 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2% -
47 YOON Ian 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
48 ONG David 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 13%
49 NOLAN Morgan 100% 94% 61% 23% 5% - -
50 ELARDO Griffin 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
51 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
52 KOU Mason 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
52 LIU William 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
54 CHU Clayton 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
55 SCHNEIDER Ronan 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
56 ZENG Aidrik 100% 64% 23% 4% - - -
57 ZHAO Luke 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
58 KIM Hayden 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
59 LI Connor 100% 95% 64% 25% 5% 1% -
60 HAN Alex 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
61 LO Stefan 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
62 PARK Sean 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
63 BROWN Sean 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
64 NOZAWA Luke 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
65 MULDER Chasen 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
66 THOMPSON Luca 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
67 KOU Logan 100% 35% 5% - - - -
68 BALDWIN Liam 100% 37% 6% - - - -
69 KIM Benjamin 100% 43% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.