9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
2 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 8%
5 LI Allison 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
6 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
7 SUN Karolyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
8 GRAZIANO Ruby Mae 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
9 KIM Vivian 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
10 CIOBANU Celine 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
11 YU Chloe 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
12 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
13 BUDMAN Ava 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
15 YOON Claire 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
16 LEE Adelynn 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
17 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
18 MIAO Anthea 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
19 PARKE Jaime 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
20 LICHTENFELD Naomi 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
21 HUANG Sophie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
22 LYNTON Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 75% 29% 5% -
23 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
24 DEKERMANJI kate 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
25 FLESHER Mia 100% 47% 9% 1% - -
26 YANG Nina 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 6% -
27 LI Carlie 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
28 LU Chloe 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
29 RAPTIS Layla 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
30 SINGLETARY Iona 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
31 GRAZIANO Josephine 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
32 LU Chu 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
33 LYNTON Olivia 100% 97% 75% 35% 7% 1%
34 MA Sloane 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% - -
35 REN Ivanka 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
36 LEE Layla 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
37 BREWER Isis 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
38 WANG Olivia 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
39 FIEDOR Savannah 100% 37% 6% - - -
40 CHONG Emma 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
41 FULLER Jocelyn 100% 74% 27% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.