Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-8 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KNOX Aysa 20% 47% 29% 4% - < 1%
2 KOLENIC Chance - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
3 HSU Justin 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% < 1%
3 FANNION Alexander 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
5 LEI Adam - 5% 18% 34% 31% 12%
6 LIN Valentina - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
7 MIAO Aria 33% 44% 19% 4% - -
8 VONTIMITTA Neel 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
9 TAM Alisa 4% 22% 40% 28% 7% -
10 DONG Alan 9% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
11 LEE Cayden 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
12 LEE Annabelle - - 4% 25% 46% 25%
13 LI Effie - 3% 30% 46% 19% 1%
14 JIA Angela - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
15 ZHU Chance 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
16 KOTANDON Neev < 1% 4% 24% 40% 26% 6%
17 ANAND Neel < 1% 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
18 TSE Cleo < 1% 6% 24% 37% 26% 7%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.