Chance Kolenic

2017

Win/Loss Statistics

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Victories 58 8 - - - 66
Losses 16 - - - - 16
Win Ratio 78.4% 100.0% - - - 80.5%
Pool Victories 43 5 - - - 48
Pool Losses 8 - - - - 8
Pool Win Ratio 84.3% 100.0% - - - 85.7%
DE Victories 15 3 - - - 18
DE Losses 8 - - - - 8
DE Win Ratio 65.2% 100.0% - - - 69.2%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Easy wins† 27 6 - - - 33
Easy wins as % of wins 46.6% 75.0% - - - 50.0%
Close wins‡ 13 - - - - 13
Close wins as % of all wins 22.4% 0.0% - - - 19.7%
Close losses‡ 7 - - - - 7
Close losses as % of all losses 43.8% - - - - 43.8%
Big losses† 5 - - - - 5
Big losses as % of all losses 31.2% - - - - 31.2%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Victories 1 1 - - - 2
Victories as % of all victories 1.7% 12.5% - - - 3.0%
Losses 1 - - - - 1
Losses as % of all losses 6.2% - - - - 6.2%
Total 2 1 - - - 3
Total as % of all bouts 2.7% 12.5% - - - 3.7%

Events

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Events 11 1 - - - 12
Tournaments 11 1 - - - 12

Competition History

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), March 29, 2026
Place 3 of 11, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:0 HOLBROOK Kieran 6 U 10 East Bay Fencers Gym 478 1482 14.8 90%
Pool V 5:1 SOMNATH Rohan 11 U 11 Prime Fencing Academy 796 1496 24.8 80%
Pool D 3:5 LEE Jasper 10 U 2 Prime Fencing Academy 211 1521 211.5 98%
Pool V 4:3 IMMERMAN Aaron 2 U 7 San Francisco Fencers Club 363 1310 11.7 92%
Pool D 4:5 MALPICA Tao 9 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 359 1321 148.6 93%
T8 V 10:6 DU Zoey 8 U 5 Silicon Valley Fencing Center
T4 D 7:10 LEE Jayden 1 U 1 Prime Fencing Academy 1030 1873 165.0 89%

Star Trophy @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), March 22, 2026
Place 11 of 31, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:4 WANG Erin 8 U 25 Bay Area Fencing Club
Pool V 5:0 RUAN Alexander 13 U 21 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 153 1653 3.6 99%
Pool V 5:3 LIU William 30 U 29 Bay Area Fencing Club Pleasanton 635 1657 18.8 90%
Pool D 1:5 YANG Arthur 17 U 6 Prime Fencing Academy 685 1676 219.2 93%
Pool V 5:0 CHEN Tony 29 U 18 Bay Area Fencing Club Pleasanton 737 1456 25.1 85%
T32 V 10:6 TSAI Albert 5 U 24 Bay Area Fencing Club 1257 2114 26.0 85%
T16 D 4:10 STOCK Ian 23 U 2 Massialas Foundation (M Team) 780 2140 266.9 98%

Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), March 1, 2026
Place 2 of 18, Seed 9, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 3:5 KNOX Aysa 15 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:2 MIAO Aria 3 U 7 Silicon Valley Fencing Center
Pool V 5:0 TSE Cleo 16 U 18 Maximum fencing Club
Pool V 5:2 LI Effie 10 U 13 Maximum fencing Club
Pool V 5:0 JIA Angela 4 U 14 Maximum fencing Club
T16 V 10:0 JIA Angela 4 U 14 Maximum fencing Club
T8 V 10:9 LIN Valentina 14 U 6 Maximum fencing Club
T4 V 10:2 HSU Justin 12 U 3 Bida Fencing Academy 1415 2077 36.7 83%
T2 D 8:10 KNOX Aysa 15 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), February 22, 2026
Place 1 of 14, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:4 EMERSON Cullen 2 U 7 Marin Fencing Academy 463 2102 3.1 99%
Pool D 3:5 MALPICA Tao 6 U 2 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 167 2105 452.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:4 TAM Alisa 14 U 13 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool V 5:3 MURPHY Ava 11 U 3 San Francisco Fencers Club
Pool D 4:5 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 7 U 6 Golden State Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:2 ZHONG Mia 10 U 12 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
T16 V 10:2 ZHONG Mia 10 U 12 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
T8 V 10:6 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 7 U 6 Golden State Fencing Academy
T4 V 10:6 CHASE Boaz 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy 2648 1936 122.9 24%
T2 V 10:9 MALPICA Tao 6 U 2 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1055 2058 18.9 93%

MFA in-house tournament with Journey Fencing

Unrated Mixed Foil (U, U), December 6, 2025
Place 2 of 10, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:3 RAPHAEL Joshua 4 U 10 Journeys Fencing Club -66 2059 1.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 ROSELIN Milo 5 U 6 Marin Fencing Academy 836 2060 18.3 93%
Pool V 5:4 KWONG Zenith 8 U 5 Journeys Fencing Club 1044 2078 24.2 90%
Pool V 5:4 BOWRING Lazlo 1 U 3 Journeys Fencing Club
T8 V 15:9 BROME Zachary 2 U 7 Marin Fencing Academy 1024 2017 34.6 90%
T4 V 15:14 INUGAI Traevian 10 U 3 Journeys Fencing Club 2267 2052 129.1 41%
T2 D 8:15 SITU Baiqin 3 U 1 San Francisco Fencing Academy 1518 2181 245.4 83%

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), November 16, 2025
Place 3 of 5, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:0 LEE Isabelle 5 U 5 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool V 5:1 KNOX Aysa 1 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:4 TAM Alisa 2 U 3 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool D 0:5 PARK Jackson 4 U 2 Prime Fencing Academy 1271 2405 346.5 93%
T4 D 9:10 KNOX Aysa 1 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-8 Men's Foil (U, Y8), October 31, 2025
Place 6 of 23, Seed 17, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:2 MORONES Amisael 7 U 22 Fencing Institute Of Texas 247 3519 0.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:4 ZHANG Bowen 2 U 15 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1241 3519 3.1 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 RUAN Alexander 20 U 20 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 326 3522 0.0 > 99%
Pool D 4:5 LIN Evan 14 U 1 Socal Fencing Center 651 3522 1120.5 > 99%
Pool V 5:3 PARK Ethan 10 U 7 Precision Athletics Fencing Club 620 2402 3.6 99%
T16 V 10:8 XU Evan 11 U 13 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1837 2388 121.2 75%
T8 D 3:10 LIN Evan 14 U 1 Socal Fencing Center 1414 2509 491.9 93%

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), October 19, 2025
Place 3 of 7, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 KRISHNA Shivanya 6 U 5 Marin Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:1 PARK Jackson 5 U 1 Prime Fencing Academy 653 3518 0.5 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 CHOI Audrey M 3 U 2 Prime Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:3 AKHUND Helena 2 U 7
Pool V 5:0 LOEB-JOHNSON Astrid 7 U 6 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:2 KNOX Aysa 1 U 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
T4 D 9:10 PARK Jackson 5 U 1 Prime Fencing Academy 1253 3109 720.9 97%

MFA in-house tournament with Journey Fencing

Unrated Mixed Foil (E1, U), October 11, 2025
Place 5 of 14, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 CHASE Boaz 14 U 9 Marin Fencing Academy 2500 2661 295.3 55%
Pool V 5:2 MAO Jacob 11 U 2 Journeys Fencing Club 2500 2956 195.3 65%
Pool V 5:0 MAO Christopher 1 U 13 Journeys Fencing Club 2231 3151 110.2 82%
Pool V 5:0 XIAO Adrian 8 U 11 Journeys Fencing Club 2293 3262 89.4 84%
Pool V 5:3 SCHAIBLE Keats 5 U 8 Journeys Fencing Club 2759 3351 125.9 74%
Pool V 5:0 XIAO Loren 9 U 10 Journeys Fencing Club 2245 3477 41.6 92%
T8 D 8:10 KRISHNA Shivanya 10 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), September 14, 2025
Place 1 of 3, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:2 KNOX Aysa 2 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:0 LOEB-JOHNSON Astrid 3 U 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
T2 V 10:2 KNOX Aysa 2 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), August 31, 2025
Place 1 of 4, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:0 KNOX Aysa 4 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:1 KRISHNA Shivanya 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:0 RAGHUNATH Runa 3 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
T4 V 10:8 KRISHNA Shivanya 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
T2 V 10:0 KNOX Aysa 4 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), July 20, 2025
Place 1 of 12, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 HO Karsten 12 U 9 Prime Fencing Academy 906 2500 90.3 93%
Pool V 5:1 CHUNG Lucas 3 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 759 2590 44.9 97%
Pool V 5:0 SIN Chad 2 U 2 Bay Area Fencing Club -297 2635 2.1 > 99%
Pool V 5:3 DONG Ena 6 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center
Pool V 5:1 CHUNG Christian 7 U 8 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 582 2637 23.5 98%
T8 V 10:3 CHUNG Christian 7 U 8 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1946 2500 323.4 70%
T4 V 9:6 CHUNG Lucas 3 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 2253 2823 232.9 72%
T2 V 10:2 SIN Chad 2 U 2 Bay Area Fencing Club 1688 3056 52.5 94%