Chance Kolenic

2017

Win/Loss Statistics

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Victories 49 8 - - - 57
Losses 11 - - - - 11
Win Ratio 81.7% 100.0% - - - 83.8%
Pool Victories 36 5 - - - 41
Pool Losses 5 - - - - 5
Pool Win Ratio 87.8% 100.0% - - - 89.1%
DE Victories 13 3 - - - 16
DE Losses 6 - - - - 6
DE Win Ratio 68.4% 100.0% - - - 72.7%

Note: Seasons start on August 1st and end on July 31st.

Scores

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Easy wins† 23 6 - - - 29
Easy wins as % of wins 46.9% 75.0% - - - 50.9%
Close wins‡ 11 - - - - 11
Close wins as % of all wins 22.4% 0.0% - - - 19.3%
Close losses‡ 6 - - - - 6
Close losses as % of all losses 54.5% - - - - 54.5%
Big losses† 3 - - - - 3
Big losses as % of all losses 27.3% - - - - 27.3%

† Easy victories or big losses are those with the score difference of 4 or more touches in a pool, 7 or more touches in direct elimination, and 5 or more in veteran and youth direct elimination.
‡ Close bouts are those with the score difference of 1 or fewer touches in a pool, 3 or fewer touches in direct elimination, or 2 or fewer touches in veteran or youth direct elimination.

Bouts with Time Expired

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Victories - 1 - - - 1
Victories as % of all victories 0.0% 12.5% - - - 1.8%
Losses 1 - - - - 1
Losses as % of all losses 9.1% - - - - 9.1%
Total 1 1 - - - 2
Total as % of all bouts 1.7% 12.5% - - - 2.9%

Events

2025-2026 2024-2025 2023-2024 2022-2023 Before 2022 All Time
Events 9 1 - - - 10
Tournaments 9 1 - - - 10

Competition History

Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), March 1, 2026
Place 2 of 18, Seed 9, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool D 3:5 KNOX Aysa 15 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:2 MIAO Aria 3 U 7 Silicon Valley Fencing Center
Pool V 5:0 TSE Cleo 16 U 18 Maximum fencing Club
Pool V 5:2 LI Effie 10 U 13 Maximum fencing Club
Pool V 5:0 JIA Angela 4 U 14 Maximum fencing Club
T16 V 10:0 JIA Angela 4 U 14 Maximum fencing Club
T8 V 10:9 LIN Valentina 14 U 6 Maximum fencing Club
T4 V 10:2 HSU Justin 12 U 3 Bida Fencing Academy 1415 2077 36.7 83%
T2 D 8:10 KNOX Aysa 15 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-10 Mixed Foil (U, Y10), February 22, 2026
Place 1 of 14, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:4 EMERSON Cullen 2 U 7 Marin Fencing Academy 463 2102 3.1 99%
Pool D 3:5 MALPICA Tao 6 U 2 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 167 2105 452.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:4 TAM Alisa 14 U 13 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool V 5:3 MURPHY Ava 11 U 3 San Francisco Fencers Club
Pool D 4:5 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 7 U 6 Golden State Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:2 ZHONG Mia 10 U 12 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
T16 V 10:2 ZHONG Mia 10 U 12 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
T8 V 10:6 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 7 U 6 Golden State Fencing Academy
T4 V 10:6 CHASE Boaz 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy 2648 1936 122.9 24%
T2 V 10:9 MALPICA Tao 6 U 2 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1055 2058 18.9 93%

MFA in-house tournament with Journey Fencing

Unrated Mixed Foil (U, U), December 6, 2025
Place 2 of 10, Seed 6, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:3 RAPHAEL Joshua 4 U 10 Journeys Fencing Club -66 2059 1.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 ROSELIN Milo 5 U 6 Marin Fencing Academy 836 2060 18.3 93%
Pool V 5:4 KWONG Zenith 8 U 5 Journeys Fencing Club 1044 2078 24.2 90%
Pool V 5:4 BOWRING Lazlo 1 U 3 Journeys Fencing Club
T8 V 15:9 BROME Zachary 2 U 7 Marin Fencing Academy 1024 2017 34.6 90%
T4 V 15:14 INUGAI Traevian 10 U 3 Journeys Fencing Club 2267 2052 129.1 41%
T2 D 8:15 SITU Baiqin 3 U 1 San Francisco Fencing Academy 1518 2181 245.4 83%

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), November 16, 2025
Place 3 of 5, Seed 3, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:0 LEE Isabelle 5 U 5 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool V 5:1 KNOX Aysa 1 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:4 TAM Alisa 2 U 3 Massialas Foundation (M Team)
Pool D 0:5 PARK Jackson 4 U 2 Prime Fencing Academy 1271 2405 346.5 93%
T4 D 9:10 KNOX Aysa 1 U 1 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Y-8 Men's Foil (U, Y8), October 31, 2025
Place 6 of 23, Seed 17, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:2 MORONES Amisael 7 U 22 Fencing Institute Of Texas 247 3519 0.0 > 99%
Pool V 5:4 ZHANG Bowen 2 U 15 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1241 3519 3.1 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 RUAN Alexander 20 U 20 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 326 3522 0.0 > 99%
Pool D 4:5 LIN Evan 14 U 1 Socal Fencing Center 651 3522 1120.5 > 99%
Pool V 5:3 PARK Ethan 10 U 7 Precision Athletics Fencing Club 620 2402 3.6 99%
T16 V 10:8 XU Evan 11 U 13 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 1837 2388 121.2 75%
T8 D 3:10 LIN Evan 14 U 1 Socal Fencing Center 1414 2509 491.9 93%

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), October 19, 2025
Place 3 of 7, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 KRISHNA Shivanya 6 U 5 Marin Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:1 PARK Jackson 5 U 1 Prime Fencing Academy 653 3518 0.5 > 99%
Pool V 5:0 CHOI Audrey M 3 U 2 Prime Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:3 AKHUND Helena 2 U 7
Pool V 5:0 LOEB-JOHNSON Astrid 7 U 6 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:2 KNOX Aysa 1 U 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
T4 D 9:10 PARK Jackson 5 U 1 Prime Fencing Academy 1253 3109 720.9 97%

MFA in-house tournament with Journey Fencing

Unrated Mixed Foil (E1, U), October 11, 2025
Place 5 of 14, Seed 4, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 CHASE Boaz 14 U 9 Marin Fencing Academy 2500 2661 295.3 55%
Pool V 5:2 MAO Jacob 11 U 2 Journeys Fencing Club 2500 2956 195.3 65%
Pool V 5:0 MAO Christopher 1 U 13 Journeys Fencing Club 2231 3151 110.2 82%
Pool V 5:0 XIAO Adrian 8 U 11 Journeys Fencing Club 2293 3262 89.4 84%
Pool V 5:3 SCHAIBLE Keats 5 U 8 Journeys Fencing Club 2759 3351 125.9 74%
Pool V 5:0 XIAO Loren 9 U 10 Journeys Fencing Club 2245 3477 41.6 92%
T8 D 8:10 KRISHNA Shivanya 10 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), September 14, 2025
Place 1 of 3, Seed 1, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:2 KNOX Aysa 2 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:0 LOEB-JOHNSON Astrid 3 U 3 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
T2 V 10:2 KNOX Aysa 2 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), August 31, 2025
Place 1 of 4, Seed 2, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:0 KNOX Aysa 4 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club
Pool V 5:1 KRISHNA Shivanya 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
Pool V 5:0 RAGHUNATH Runa 3 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
T4 V 10:8 KRISHNA Shivanya 1 U 3 Marin Fencing Academy
T2 V 10:0 KNOX Aysa 4 U 2 Halberstadt Fencers' Club

MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Y-8 Mixed Foil (U, Y8), July 20, 2025
Place 1 of 12, Seed 11, Not ranked, Rating U, Marin Fencing Academy
Bout Score Opponent Seed Rank Rating Place Club Opponent
Strength		 Strength Change Chance of
Victory
Pool V 5:1 HO Karsten 12 U 9 Prime Fencing Academy 906 2500 90.3 93%
Pool V 5:1 CHUNG Lucas 3 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 759 2590 44.9 97%
Pool V 5:0 SIN Chad 2 U 2 Bay Area Fencing Club -297 2635 2.1 > 99%
Pool V 5:3 DONG Ena 6 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center
Pool V 5:1 CHUNG Christian 7 U 8 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 582 2637 23.5 98%
T8 V 10:3 CHUNG Christian 7 U 8 Halberstadt Fencers' Club 1946 2500 323.4 70%
T4 V 9:6 CHUNG Lucas 3 U 3 Silicon Valley Fencing Center 2253 2823 232.9 72%
T2 V 10:2 SIN Chad 2 U 2 Bay Area Fencing Club 1688 3056 52.5 94%