Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SITU Baiqin - - 1% 11% 46% 42%
2 LI Lief - - 5% 34% 61%
3 CREMEL Remi - - 1% 13% 52% 33%
3 MAHAPATRA Alisha - - 4% 21% 48% 26%
5 WANG Theodore - 1% 9% 36% 52% 3%
6 SCHOR William - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
7 LEE Clara 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% -
8 WANG Ian 1% 15% 44% 34% 6% -
9 HAVERTY Joshua - - 6% 33% 47% 13%
10 KAYAL Alexander 23% 42% 27% 7% 1% -
11 SCHOR Katherine 32% 44% 21% 3% -
12 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 9% 34% 40% 16% 1%
13 YANG Claire 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 3%
14 SAXENA Niven 5% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
15 CHANG Audrey 1% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
16 HE Andrew 6% 27% 38% 23% 6% -
17 CHUNG Lucas 2% 16% 39% 35% 8%
18 JIJO Jayln 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% -
19 HSU Jayren 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
20 MANUBOLU Maanvi 24% 46% 26% 4% - -
21 SIN Chad 11% 39% 38% 11% 1%
22 LOU Alexander 8% 29% 38% 20% 4% -
23 HU Marissa 24% 46% 26% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.