Maximum FOIL Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 42%
2 LI Lief 100% 100% 100% 95% 61%
3 CREMEL Remi 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 33%
3 MAHAPATRA Alisha 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 26%
5 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 3%
6 SCHOR William 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 29%
7 LEE Clara 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
8 WANG Ian 100% 99% 84% 40% 6% -
9 HAVERTY Joshua 100% 100% 100% 94% 60% 13%
10 KAYAL Alexander 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
11 SCHOR Katherine 100% 68% 24% 4% -
12 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 91% 57% 17% 1%
13 YANG Claire 100% 99% 89% 62% 25% 3%
14 SAXENA Niven 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
15 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 85% 50% 14% 1%
16 HE Andrew 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
17 CHUNG Lucas 100% 98% 82% 43% 8%
18 JIJO Jayln 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
19 HSU Jayren 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
20 MANUBOLU Maanvi 100% 76% 30% 4% - -
21 SIN Chad 100% 89% 50% 12% 1%
22 LOU Alexander 100% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
23 HU Marissa 100% 76% 30% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.