March NAC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHO Jacey 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
2 LEE Yeriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 YOUN Kylie 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 WANG Olivia 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
5 AKUDOVICH Aleena 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
6 SHEIKH PAREE 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 4%
7 ARULKUMAR Lashia 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
8 HALE Avery 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 18%
9 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
10 LIU Chloe 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
11 FREEMAN Kit 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
12 RICHARDS Axelle 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
13 RASHID Summer 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
14 YIN Angelina 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
15 ALLIEVI Simone 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 13% 2%
16 MIXON Ivory 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
17 ZANINA Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
19 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
20 GUSAK Aurora 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
21 ZHENG Erin 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 2%
22 BURROWS Beatrice 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
23 DU Andria 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
24 HAN Sydney 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
25 VOSKOV Olivia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
26 YOON Claire 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
27 LI Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
28 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20%
29 ZHENG Kristen 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
30 LI Xier 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%
31 EDGAR Koko 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
32 SALOUS Sarah 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% -
34 MEMON Insha 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
35 FISCHBEIN Quinley 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
36 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
37 CHAN Macie 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
38 BUCKINGHAM Emma N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
39 SUNG Audrey 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
40 LEE Kaitlyn 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
41 CORNFIELD Emily 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
42 HUFF Elizabeth 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
43 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
44 GUSKA Jenn 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
45 PEKKER Adel 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
46 KAKANI Aditi 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
47 WANG Cecilia 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
48 JU Jennifer 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
49 HAGERMAN Siona 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
50 GERARDIN Marie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
51 SRIVASTAVA Aria 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
52 JIANG Alexandra 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 4% -
53 BROWN Marie 100% 93% 61% 18% 2%
54 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
55 BROWN Amanda 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
56 SILVA Hailey 100% 97% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
57 YOUN Emily 100% 99% 94% 72% 38% 11% 1%
58 CHEN Allison 100% 96% 70% 30% 7% 1%
59 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
60 HOLDORF LE GOFF Bianca 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
61 GUSAK Eva 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% -
62 CAI Melody 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
64 WILKENS Lorelei 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
65 XU Mulan 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
66 WU Yutong 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% - -
67 BRAY Ava 100% 65% 17% 2% < 1% - -
68 HALE Reagan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1%
69 RALSTON Katy 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
70 KWON Claire 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
71 YOON Cora 100% 79% 32% 4% -
72 WIDMANN Ceili 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
73 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
74 ZHANG Elaine 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
75 LU Chloe 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
76 SAJJA Anwita 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
77 FANG Olivia 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% 1% -
78 YUMIACO Nylah 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
79 DUNNE Jessica 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
80 HALUSHKO Liliia 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
81 DURRELL Katherine (Kathy) J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
82 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
83 SHUKLA Annika 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
84 SUN Nicole 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 11% 1%
85 HILL Jasmyn 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
86 DIETIKER Claire 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
87 CORONADO María Fernanda 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
88 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 12%
88 COMBS Hannah 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
90 ZEHE Michele A. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 12%
91 BAGAMANOVA Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
92 MORET Teagan 100% 36% 6% - - -
93 LAU Karina 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
94 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 71% 27% 5% -
95 HUH Ida 100% 100% 94% 62% 8%
96 AHMAD Sophia 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
97 ILYAS Lyla 100% 54% 10% 1% - -
98 ZENG Joy 100% 72% 28% 5% - - -
99 LI Wan-Tao 100% 89% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
100 CHAVEZ Beatrix 100% 42% 9% 1% - - -
100 CHO Josephine 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
102 HUNT Isabel 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
103 CHEEVER Katie 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
104 HOOD Alana 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2% -
105 MORET Brighid E. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 12% 1%
106 MESHENBERG Zoe 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
107 STEPHAN Ella Whitney 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
108 SHABBIR Aiza 100% 72% 29% 7% 1% - -
109 ONO Melisa 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.