March NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Haoxuan - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 HART-SYED declan - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19% 3%
3 ABRAMKIN Tim - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
3 LEE Abin - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
5 BEDWORTH Alistair - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
6 LEPAROUX Jean - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
7 LIU Aaron - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
8 LI Lucas - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
9 WANG Elijah (QiChen) - - 2% 13% 39% 42% 5%
10 CHAN Tyler - - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
11 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
12 GONZALEZ Oliver - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
13 LIU Yinhong - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
14 OSPINA David - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
15 JAZWINSKI Ryan - 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 2%
16 POPOKH Luca 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
17 LUK Trusten 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% < 1%
18 LIN Jun Hui 1% 12% 32% 36% 17% 3%
19 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
20 CHANG Eric Jonathan - 1% 8% 29% 41% 21% 1%
21 DOUGLASS Liam - 8% 34% 38% 17% 3% -
22 CHUN Zachary 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 2%
23 PARK Jayden - 4% 25% 43% 24% 4%
24 KATWAN Adam A. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
25 CZARNECKI Thomas - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
26 WANG Freyr 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
27 ZAPPALA Nikolai - 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 6%
28 TARCHICHI Robby - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
29 CHEN Owen 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
31 SUN Henry - 1% 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
32 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
33 YUAN Zhihe - - 6% 27% 45% 22%
34 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
35 KIM Yoonsoo - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
36 OH Joshua - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
37 TANG Royce - 2% 14% 34% 35% 14% 1%
38 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
39 HE Ian 4% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
40 GATES Combustion - 1% 7% 27% 38% 22% 5%
41 VILLACRESES Mathias - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
42 TANG Brayden - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
43 KUO Phineas - 4% 22% 42% 27% 4%
44 KO Caleb - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
45 EDWARDS Connor - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
46 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
47 PAN Ethan - - 1% 6% 27% 46% 20%
48 COPELAND Nigel - 1% 5% 24% 42% 24% 4%
49 LU Alex - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
50 NEWMAN Noah - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
51 KIM Daniel - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
52 MOE Annan - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
53 ONG Nicholas - 1% 7% 24% 42% 27%
54 GANAPATHI Eshan - 3% 18% 41% 32% 6%
55 OH Kepler 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
56 SUMIN Yang - - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
57 KINGSLEY Griffin - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
58 WU Rayson siyu 5% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
59 YE Jerry 1% 8% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
60 XU Nathan - 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
61 WENGER Liam 2% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
62 LU Hansen 2% 15% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
63 SANTHOSH Rithwik 16% 39% 32% 11% 1% - -
64 HONG Edwin 6% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
65 OH Christopher - 2% 15% 40% 34% 9%
66 WEI JR Shan 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
67 GRIGORIEV Michael 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
67 METZ Mason - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
69 LEE JISUNG - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 16%
70 LEE Ian - - 1% 10% 33% 41% 15%
71 ZHANG Hanru - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
72 LI Jayden 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 9% 1%
73 GUO Austin 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
74 CHOI Ethan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
75 WU Benjamin (Ben) 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
76 FAN Sean 1% 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
77 GNEUHS Sam - - 1% 5% 22% 41% 31%
78 PICACHE Crockett 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
79 LATORRE Leonardo - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24% 2%
80 BEYDOUN Sam 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
81 SONG HAN GYEOL - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
82 YOON Byungheon - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
83 YEE Colin 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
84 ULYSSE Jacob 2% 13% 34% 35% 14% 2%
85 PAN Gary 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
86 ZHENG Austin 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3%
87 LIU Yilin 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
88 STORER Alexander 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1%
89 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
90 HO Christopher 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
91 LEONG Wilson Hua 1% 7% 25% 39% 23% 5% -
92 TAGORE Reyansh 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
93 SUSANTO William 1% 13% 40% 35% 11% 1%
94 WARD Spencer 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
95 WEBSTER Liam - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
95 CAO Sean 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
97 LIN John 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
98 GLICKSBERG Alexander 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
99 ZHAO Jason 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
100 JORAM Jacob P. - - - 1% 7% 34% 59%
101 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor - 1% 9% 31% 42% 16% 1%
102 CHOI Hunter 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
103 SHAW Spencer 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
104 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%
105 LAM Kirin 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2%
106 SINGH Meet 17% 37% 31% 13% 2% -
107 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
108 CHEN Kurtis 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
108 MONSCH Channing 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
110 KWONG Colin 36% 45% 17% 2% - -
111 HERRERA Xavier 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
112 TARCHICHI Daniel 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
113 WANG Lingke 1% 6% 19% 32% 29% 13% 2%
114 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
115 SHADRAVAN Arash 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
116 WENGER Rowan 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
117 RAMESH Prashvin 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% - -
118 SAFTA Aidan 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
119 DEPP Edward 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
120 ALABI Azryl 4% 24% 44% 23% 5% -
121 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
122 JIN Daniel 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
123 LO Ernest 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
124 HUANG Jinyao 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
124 MCERLEAN Liam 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
126 YIN Zixin(Gavin) - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
127 NG Kai 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
128 LEE Aeden 15% 48% 29% 7% 1% - -
129 JORGE Elijah 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
130 QIAN Zekai 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
131 MCLENDON Dario 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -
132 TIAN Dylan 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% - -
133 ROBERTSON Liam 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
134 KARLEKAR Ved 9% 48% 34% 8% 1% -
135 PAYNE Lynas 23% 44% 27% 6% 1% -
136 CHAN Geoffrey 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
137 CORTEZ Reigner - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
138 MARSHALL Kyler 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
140 ALABI Adriel 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
141 LIANG Andrew 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
142 HAAS Zane 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
143 MCGRATH Milo 22% 51% 22% 4% - - -
144 MUMFORD Josh 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
145 HAN Nathan 22% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
146 RAY Callum 24% 44% 25% 6% - -
147 DENMAN Matthew L. < 1% 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
147 XU Lucas 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
149 GOGOI Kavi 21% 46% 27% 6% 1% -
150 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 51% 41% 8% 1% - - -
151 GLUCK Trenton 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
152 RYAN Nash 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
153 PRIJATEL John R. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
153 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
155 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
156 SKEETE Neil 53% 36% 9% 1% - -
157 CALESHU Bauer 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
157 ZWILLING Declan 73% 25% 2% - - -
159 GELLAD Luke 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
159 PELEGRINO Bruno 57% 37% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.