March NAC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, March 7, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Haoxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 HART-SYED declan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 3%
3 ABRAMKIN Tim 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 15%
3 LEE Abin 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
5 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
6 LEPAROUX Jean 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
7 LIU Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
8 LI Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
9 WANG Elijah (QiChen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 5%
10 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
12 GONZALEZ Oliver 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 36% 9%
13 LIU Yinhong 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
14 OSPINA David 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
15 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
16 POPOKH Luca 100% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
17 LUK Trusten 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% < 1%
18 LIN Jun Hui 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
19 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
20 CHANG Eric Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 22% 1%
21 DOUGLASS Liam 100% 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
22 CHUN Zachary 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
23 PARK Jayden 100% 100% 96% 70% 28% 4%
24 KATWAN Adam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
25 CZARNECKI Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
26 WANG Freyr 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
27 ZAPPALA Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 6%
28 TARCHICHI Robby 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
29 CHEN Owen 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
31 SUN Henry 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 9%
32 LEUNG Tsun Yin (TY) 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
33 YUAN Zhihe 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
34 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
35 KIM Yoonsoo 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
36 OH Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
37 TANG Royce 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1%
38 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
39 HE Ian 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
40 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
41 VILLACRESES Mathias 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
42 TANG Brayden 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
43 KUO Phineas 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 4%
44 KO Caleb 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
45 EDWARDS Connor 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
46 TSUI Raedyn Ho Hin 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
47 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
48 COPELAND Nigel 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28% 4%
49 LU Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
50 NEWMAN Noah 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
51 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
52 MOE Annan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
53 ONG Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 27%
54 GANAPATHI Eshan 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6%
55 OH Kepler 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
56 SUMIN Yang 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
57 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
58 WU Rayson siyu 100% 95% 68% 28% 5% -
59 YE Jerry 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
60 XU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 5%
61 WENGER Liam 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
62 LU Hansen 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
63 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
64 HONG Edwin 100% 94% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
65 OH Christopher 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
66 WEI JR Shan 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
67 GRIGORIEV Michael 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
67 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
69 LEE JISUNG 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
70 LEE Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
71 ZHANG Hanru 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
72 LI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
73 GUO Austin 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
74 CHOI Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
75 WU Benjamin (Ben) 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4% -
76 FAN Sean 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
77 GNEUHS Sam 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
78 PICACHE Crockett 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
79 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 2%
80 BEYDOUN Sam 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
81 SONG HAN GYEOL 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
82 YOON Byungheon 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
83 YEE Colin 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7%
84 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
85 PAN Gary 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
86 ZHENG Austin 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3%
87 LIU Yilin 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
88 STORER Alexander 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
89 VARIDIREDDY Suhan 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
90 HO Christopher 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
91 LEONG Wilson Hua 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 6% -
92 TAGORE Reyansh 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
93 SUSANTO William 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1%
94 WARD Spencer 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
95 WEBSTER Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
95 CAO Sean 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
97 LIN John 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
98 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 94% 72% 39% 14% 3% -
99 ZHAO Jason 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
100 JORAM Jacob P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
101 CHEREDNICHENKO Ihor 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17% 1%
102 CHOI Hunter 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 1%
103 SHAW Spencer 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
104 GUDIMETLA Siddhanth 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
105 LAM Kirin 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
106 SINGH Meet 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
107 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
108 CHEN Kurtis 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% -
108 MONSCH Channing 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4%
110 KWONG Colin 100% 64% 19% 3% - -
111 HERRERA Xavier 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
112 TARCHICHI Daniel 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
113 WANG Lingke 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
114 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
115 SHADRAVAN Arash 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
116 WENGER Rowan 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
117 RAMESH Prashvin 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% 1% -
118 SAFTA Aidan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
119 DEPP Edward 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
120 ALABI Azryl 100% 96% 72% 28% 5% -
121 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6%
122 JIN Daniel 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
123 LO Ernest 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
124 HUANG Jinyao 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
124 MCERLEAN Liam 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
126 YIN Zixin(Gavin) 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 19% 2%
127 NG Kai 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
128 LEE Aeden 100% 85% 37% 8% 1% - -
129 JORGE Elijah 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
130 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
131 MCLENDON Dario 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% - -
132 TIAN Dylan 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% - -
133 ROBERTSON Liam 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
134 KARLEKAR Ved 100% 91% 43% 9% 1% -
135 PAYNE Lynas 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
136 CHAN Geoffrey 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1%
137 CORTEZ Reigner 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
138 MARSHALL Kyler 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
140 ALABI Adriel 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
141 LIANG Andrew 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
142 HAAS Zane 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
143 MCGRATH Milo 100% 78% 27% 4% - - -
144 MUMFORD Josh 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
145 HAN Nathan 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
146 RAY Callum 100% 76% 32% 6% - -
147 DENMAN Matthew L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
147 XU Lucas 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
149 GOGOI Kavi 100% 79% 33% 6% 1% -
150 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 49% 8% 1% - - -
151 GLUCK Trenton 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
152 RYAN Nash 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
153 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
153 TIMCHENKO Fiodor 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
155 SCHOFIELD Benjamin J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
156 SKEETE Neil 100% 47% 11% 1% - -
157 CALESHU Bauer 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
157 ZWILLING Declan 100% 27% 2% - - -
159 GELLAD Luke 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3% -
159 PELEGRINO Bruno 100% 43% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.