March NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Chloe - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
2 LI Christina - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
3 YIN Chloe - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
3 WU Nicole M. - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
5 MUMMANENI Samyuta - - - 5% 21% 43% 31%
6 LEVESQUE Brielle - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 30%
7 LI Alice - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
8 DE CASTRO Kai - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
9 DHALIWAL Seerat - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
10 HOROWITZ Shuli - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
11 TAO Ann - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
12 ZHU Ella - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12%
13 RIVERA Leahy - 2% 9% 26% 36% 23% 4%
14 BOIKE Lucille - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7%
15 ZEE Savannah 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
16 ARYA Leela - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
17 HUANG Natalie - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
18 WATSON Evelyn - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
19 WU Chingfei Amber - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
20 OWENS Elise - - - 2% 14% 40% 43%
21 WENDLER Lauren - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
22 DENG Claire 11% 31% 35% 19% 5% -
23 SFINTESCU Emma 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
23 ROBERTS Anastasia - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
25 DAI Iris Yuyang - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
26 NEUMANN Erika - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
27 DONG Iris - 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
28 PARK Zena - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
29 KNAPP Isabella - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
30 LEE Abigail 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
31 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
32 COLE Sofia 5% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
33 ORRINGER Lottie - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
34 ZHOU Joi - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
35 CAO Amelie - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
36 JIN Jada Y - 4% 14% 28% 31% 18% 4%
37 YANG Hanli - 3% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
38 CHAN Ella - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
39 ZHANG Lian - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
40 ZHANG Viviana 2% 10% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
41 LU Chloe 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
42 LIU Yinuo - 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 4%
43 IWERSEN Marte - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
44 HOM Avery 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
45 ETIKALA Saanvi 20% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
46 SHAOOLIAN Maya 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
47 YAO Abby - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
48 UHRICH Reese 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
49 BASILE Gianna - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
50 HAN Gian - 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
51 LI Junhan - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
52 LIN Kenzie 1% 5% 17% 30% 29% 14% 3%
53 KIM Lauren 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
54 KUTATELADZE Anna 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
55 MUHAMMAD Auset 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
56 KIM Natalie 1% 13% 33% 35% 16% 3%
57 DUVVA Sanika 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
58 SWOPE Farren - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
58 SUN Nicole - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
60 HAN Mia - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
61 CHUNG Stella - 6% 30% 39% 20% 5% -
62 HSU Rachel 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 2%
63 STEWART Isla 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
64 MACKINTOSH Quinn 10% 28% 33% 20% 7% 1% -
65 TEWARI Amaira 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
66 WU Maggie Lei - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
67 FAN Sophia - 1% 23% 43% 26% 6% 1%
68 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
69 BLAKEY Heaven - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
70 WANG Annie - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
71 BAULIN Zoya 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
72 DONG Katelyn 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
73 NWODO Naila - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
74 BALIN Julia 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
75 EPSTEIN Naomi - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
76 FELLMAN Sara - 3% 15% 36% 34% 12%
77 SHUI Zola 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
78 BO Iris 3% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1%
79 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 1% 10% 32% 36% 17% 3%
80 ADLER Zoe 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1%
81 CHO Karis 3% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
82 ZHANG Caroline 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
83 WEI Angela - - 4% 19% 43% 35%
84 YIN Emily 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
85 BHANGOO Paloma 16% 42% 31% 10% 1% - -
86 JENA Aanvi 1% 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
87 DESAI Esha - 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 2%
88 CHAN Kaitlyn 4% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
89 ZHANG Queeny 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
90 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 7% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
91 ALKADI Mai - 1% 23% 42% 26% 7% 1%
91 MORSE Katherine 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
93 NUNLEY Victoria - 5% 22% 37% 28% 8%
94 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 36% 44% 17% 3% - -
95 BELL Blake 19% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
96 LIU Joanna 10% 56% 29% 5% - - -
97 LI Sophia 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
98 UTIN Alexandra 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
99 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 5% 31% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
100 FECHER Lily 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
101 FERRARI Ande 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
102 FAN Melody 39% 43% 15% 2% - - -
103 RODRIGUEZ Jocelyn 29% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
104 JOHNSON Elizabeth 44% 53% 4% - - - -
105 GOLDBERG Andy - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
106 FENG Sophia 51% 47% 2% - - - -
107 JOESUF Aurielle 18% 38% 31% 11% 2% - -
108 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 3% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
109 VOROBIEV Alexandra 30% 44% 21% 4% - -
110 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
111 VINS Katherine 22% 49% 24% 5% - - -
112 MCGRATH Alexandra 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
113 SHIPMAN Danika 79% 20% 1% - - - -
114 BENTLEY Amelia 67% 28% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.