March NAC

Div II Women's Foil

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIANG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
2 LI Christina 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
3 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 WU Nicole M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
5 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
6 LEVESQUE Brielle 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
7 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
8 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 DHALIWAL Seerat 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 3%
10 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
11 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
12 ZHU Ella 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
13 RIVERA Leahy 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
14 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
15 ZEE Savannah 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
16 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
17 HUANG Natalie 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
18 WATSON Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
19 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
20 OWENS Elise 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43%
21 WENDLER Lauren 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
22 DENG Claire 100% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
23 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 2%
23 ROBERTS Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
25 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
26 NEUMANN Erika 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
27 DONG Iris 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
28 PARK Zena 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
29 KNAPP Isabella 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
30 LEE Abigail 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
31 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
32 COLE Sofia 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
33 ORRINGER Lottie 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
34 ZHOU Joi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
35 CAO Amelie 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
36 JIN Jada Y 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 22% 4%
37 YANG Hanli 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
38 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 8%
39 ZHANG Lian 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
40 ZHANG Viviana 100% 98% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
41 LU Chloe 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
42 LIU Yinuo 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
43 IWERSEN Marte 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
44 HOM Avery 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
45 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
46 SHAOOLIAN Maya 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
47 YAO Abby 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
48 UHRICH Reese 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
49 BASILE Gianna 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
50 HAN Gian 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
51 LI Junhan 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
52 LIN Kenzie 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
53 KIM Lauren 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
54 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
55 MUHAMMAD Auset 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
56 KIM Natalie 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
57 DUVVA Sanika 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
58 SWOPE Farren 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 22% 3%
58 SUN Nicole 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
60 HAN Mia 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
61 CHUNG Stella 100% 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% -
62 HSU Rachel 100% 99% 90% 68% 36% 11% 2%
63 STEWART Isla 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
64 MACKINTOSH Quinn 100% 90% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
65 TEWARI Amaira 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
66 WU Maggie Lei 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
67 FAN Sophia 100% 100% 99% 76% 33% 7% 1%
68 FU Pui Lam (Paisley) 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
69 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
70 WANG Annie 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
71 BAULIN Zoya 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
72 DONG Katelyn 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
73 NWODO Naila 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 5%
74 BALIN Julia 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
75 EPSTEIN Naomi 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
76 FELLMAN Sara 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12%
77 SHUI Zola 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
78 BO Iris 100% 97% 80% 42% 11% 1%
79 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3%
80 ADLER Zoe 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1%
81 CHO Karis 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1%
82 ZHANG Caroline 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
83 WEI Angela 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
84 YIN Emily 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
85 BHANGOO Paloma 100% 84% 42% 11% 1% - -
86 JENA Aanvi 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
87 DESAI Esha 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 15% 2%
88 CHAN Kaitlyn 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
89 ZHANG Queeny 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
90 TAYLOR-OSBORN Nadia 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
91 ALKADI Mai 100% 100% 99% 75% 34% 8% 1%
91 MORSE Katherine 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
93 NUNLEY Victoria 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
94 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
95 BELL Blake 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
96 LIU Joanna 100% 90% 34% 6% - - -
97 LI Sophia 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
98 UTIN Alexandra 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
99 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 100% 95% 64% 25% 6% 1% -
100 FECHER Lily 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
101 FERRARI Ande 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
102 FAN Melody 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
103 RODRIGUEZ Jocelyn 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
104 JOHNSON Elizabeth 100% 56% 4% - - - -
105 GOLDBERG Andy 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 8%
106 FENG Sophia 100% 49% 2% - - - -
107 JOESUF Aurielle 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
108 XU-FERGUSON Victoria 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
109 VOROBIEV Alexandra 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
110 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
111 VINS Katherine 100% 78% 30% 6% 1% - -
112 MCGRATH Alexandra 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
113 SHIPMAN Danika 100% 21% 1% - - - -
114 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 33% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.