March NAC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SARATH Sana - - - 3% 15% 39% 43%
2 HU Ashley - - 1% 7% 24% 40% 28%
3 MULLER Inara - - 2% 18% 46% 34%
3 LONG Chloe - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
5 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai - - - - 1% 15% 84%
6 KANIA Brigitte - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
7 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" - - 1% 9% 26% 40% 24%
8 CAO Kim - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
9 WEI Levana - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
10 KAVZAN Duru - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
11 LI Tira - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
12 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne - - - 5% 25% 47% 23%
13 SUTHERLAND Sadie - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
14 WANG April - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
15 TABANCAY Ava - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
16 ZENG Stella - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 5%
17 NEMORIN Rei - - - - 5% 29% 65%
17 CHEN Cindy - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
19 KETT alexis - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
20 POWERS Waverly - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
21 BREWSTER Ayaki 2% 18% 36% 31% 12% 2%
22 HWANG Sophie - - - 4% 29% 66%
23 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 26%
24 SHI Maxine - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
25 HUANG Megan 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
26 LIN Rongxuan - 7% 27% 42% 23% 1%
27 MALUKI Nia - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
28 LIU Alyssa - 1% 12% 38% 39% 10%
29 ILICHEVA Adriana - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 12%
30 KABILING Anika Von Marie - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
31 KATZ Emma - 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
32 SOUTHWELL Mia 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
33 BRIMMER Bella - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
34 YANG Felicia - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
35 JIN Eileen 2% 12% 31% 36% 16% 3% -
36 DUDNICK Caitlin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 18%
37 TRAN Esme 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
38 BAEK Aileen - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
39 WONG Charlize - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
40 ZHANG Nikki - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
40 CORD Sophia - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
42 ONG Katherine - 6% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
42 QIU Abigail - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
44 STETSIV Julia - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
45 CHENG Anna - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
46 SARBU Esme 1% 20% 41% 30% 8% -
47 ZOFFEL Gabriela 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
48 MENON Maya - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
48 RO Manhattan 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% - -
50 DANIELS Jordanna - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
51 ESTEVES ZOE - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 1%
52 YI Victoria - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
53 CHU Jiayi - - - 2% 20% 78%
54 LUC Christabel 1% 14% 38% 35% 11% 1%
55 HU Emily - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
57 VARAH Alaia - 2% 24% 52% 20% 1%
58 ZHOU Carolyn - 3% 16% 39% 32% 9% 1%
59 MADDISON Estelle 2% 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% -
60 GUERVILLE Angelique - 2% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
61 YU Sydney 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
62 MACHIRAJU Ishita 1% 9% 31% 40% 18% 2%
63 SON Ellie 7% 31% 39% 19% 4% -
64 HAN yujie 18% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
65 CONG Catherine - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
66 MEINING CHLOE - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
67 TAN Angela 1% 13% 50% 31% 5% -
68 AN Jasmine - 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
69 CUI Andrea - 8% 36% 40% 15% 2%
70 KARAVAS Lucy - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
71 DESAI Sabrina - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 4%
72 WILLER Anna - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
73 ZHOU Yihan - - 1% 12% 52% 35%
74 LEE Sophia 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
75 LIANG Katherine - 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 2%
76 FREY Elise 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
77 YANG Jackie 1% 10% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
78 ARANGO Ivanna - 8% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
79 GARCIA RODRIGUEZ Victoria Maria 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
80 VU Claire 1% 14% 37% 36% 12% 1%
81 YANG Maggie - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
82 LI Wanning 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
83 KIM Hyunji 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
83 TSE Lavine - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
85 PURITZ Morgan 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1%
86 WINSLOW Zaria 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% -
87 BAO Amelia - 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
88 NARRELL Olive 1% 8% 22% 33% 26% 9% 1%
89 ZHANG Manyao - 3% 19% 40% 32% 5%
90 YANG Rachel 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
90 CHAM Morgan 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
92 LAMTAN Trinity - 1% 6% 23% 40% 25% 5%
93 CHANG Eleanor 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4% -
95 KONDE Anika 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
96 GAO Olivia - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
97 TSIPORUKHA Arie - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
98 KONG Hermione - 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 2%
98 ATA Emily 7% 30% 41% 19% 3% - -
100 RADELL Zoe 1% 7% 27% 39% 21% 5% -
101 CHACKO Anne 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
102 KIM Avaline 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
103 EL-NAZER Salwa 43% 44% 11% 1% - -
104 LEE Elise - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
105 XU Isabella - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
106 BEAL Cameron 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 5% -
107 CHANG Kelly 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
108 LI Gloria 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% -
109 ZHANG Ellie 3% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2% -
110 DONG Bella 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
111 JUILLERAT Tabea 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
112 NAIK Annika 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
113 SADHU Mira 11% 44% 33% 11% 2% - -
114 WONG Chloe 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
115 ROBBINS Lydia 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
116 VILLACIN Alyssa Rae - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
117 CERVERA Zoe 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
118 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
119 LUC Madisyn 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
120 PORTNOY Elizabeth 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2% -
121 NG Agnes 13% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
122 ZHANG Elyna 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
123 LIU Kaylee 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
124 YAO Elizabeth 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
125 RIFKIN Talia 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
126 YAP Anna 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
127 OTAZU Clara 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
128 LEOU Eliana 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
129 WANG ZOE 26% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
130 SHAIKH Sarah 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
131 KU Sophie Grace - 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 3%
132 ALLEN Ella 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
133 ZHOU Coraline 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% - -
134 LEE Kady Hayen 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
134 FANG Kaitlyn 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
136 ZHANG Annalyn 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
137 RUBANOVA Aleksandra 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
138 CHANG Grace 1% 19% 41% 30% 8% -
139 KRISHNAN Anu 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
140 D'AMELJ Ludovica 10% 35% 37% 15% 3% - -
141 ARGUELLO Camilla - 3% 25% 44% 24% 3%
142 POTDAR Harper 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
143 KRISHNA Viraja 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2% -
144 GAO Anita 1% 7% 23% 36% 25% 7% 1%
145 PAVONY Arya 26% 45% 24% 5% - - -
146 KHAN Zoya 6% 30% 38% 20% 5% 1% -
147 SEELMAN Alexa 43% 46% 10% 1% - -
148 WHITE CAREY Alberta 15% 42% 33% 9% 1% - -
149 HOWELL Vivienne 5% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
150 TANG Esther 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
151 MOSHAROVA Natalia 56% 36% 8% 1% - -
151 TANG Julia 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
153 CHANG Jillian 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
153 LIN Martina 36% 52% 11% 1% - -
155 OTT Hazel 32% 54% 12% 1% - -
156 VAN ROY Petra 64% 32% 4% - - - -
156 SHANG Skye 64% 30% 5% 1% - - -
156 MADDISON Emily 27% 44% 24% 5% - - -
159 BHALLA Emma 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
160 VESCI PEREZ Emma 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
161 KIM Chloe 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
162 CRUZ Lala 76% 21% 2% - - -
163 HONG Emory 68% 27% 4% - - - -
164 LIU Vivienne 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.