GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Y-14 Men's Foil

Friday, March 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM

MSA Sports Spot - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OZAWA Taishi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97%
2 WANG Freyr 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 29%
3 LIN Jun Hui 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 LATORRE Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
5 PAYNE Lynas 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 7%
6 ROUS Miguel 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
7 TAN Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
8 WENGER Rowan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 6%
9 CRONK Trevor 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
10 ZHAO Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 49%
11 JIAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
12 LINEBERRY CADEN 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 31% 6%
13 AN Jacob 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
14 WILLIAMS Thomas 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% -
15 HUANG Lucas 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
16 STAMPS Jasper 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
17 GARCIA Fabricio 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% -
18 MEI Edan 100% 90% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
19 RITTER Nathan D. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
20 NETESA Lukian 100% 75% 28% 4% - -
21 DENG Albert 100% 99% 94% 70% 32% 6% -
22 MATIYASH Andrew 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% - -
23 MORGAN Jacob 100% 97% 75% 32% 5% -
24 MADDES Gage 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
25 CHASE Crosby 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
26 ROGGELIN Owen 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1%
27 KOSCIK-AQUINO Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
28 TAGORE Ayansh 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
29 REES Vaughan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
30 MCGRATH Milo 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
31 THEKKEL Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
31 ZHAI Noah 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
33 KOUTYCHENKO Andrey 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
34 MARVEL Elliot 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
35 KLINE Benjamin 100% 98% 81% 40% 7% -
36 BEDARD Bennett 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
37 LUND Jonah 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
38 LI Jensen 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
39 CORDERO Lucas 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
40 ZUIDEMA Harrison 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
41 CHAISANGUANTHUM Sarit 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.