Cherry Blossom 2026 - D1A/VET

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 9:30 AM

University of Maryland Reckord Armory - College Park, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOLLIS Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 9%
2 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
3 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
3 PAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
5 GRIEB Oliver 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 3%
6 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29% 2%
7 FLANAGAN James 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
8 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
9 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
10 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 11%
11 BEREKNYEI Lukas 100% 87% 51% 17% 2% < 1% -
12 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3%
13 KUBBA Krish 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
14 PEREZ Logan 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
15 KALAI Joshua 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 1%
16 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 14% 2%
17 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% - -
18 GIOTIS Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
19 BAYER John P. 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
20 LEE Jet 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% 1% -
21 NSUBUGA Jeffrey 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
22 MATZ Cameron 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
23 MACK Ethan 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% - -
24 NEGLEY Royce 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
25 RHEE Josiah 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% - -
26 CHENUTULA Abhinav 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
27 DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
28 CHOW Kingsley 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.