Maple Madness 2026

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSKOWITZ Martin 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
2 CHEN Allen - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
3 BUSH Thomas - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
3 MORI Seneca 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
5 WHITEHURST JJ - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
6 LI Ray 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
7 MAY Ciaran 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6%
8 LUSSIER Jesse B. - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 8%
9 OSHIMA Robert 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
10 NOP Will H. - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
11 LIN George - 4% 18% 34% 31% 11% 1%
12 POWERFREEMAN Mark 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
13 FERLAND Brent 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
14 MEAGHER Roderick 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
14 RUGGLES William R. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
16 HENTY Colton 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
17 KROHN Matthew 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
18 ROSENBLATT Aidan 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
19 KIM Joshua 36% 41% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.