Maple Madness 2026

Senior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
2 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
3 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 MORI Seneca 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
5 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 LI Ray 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
7 MAY Ciaran 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
8 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 8%
9 OSHIMA Robert 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
10 NOP Will H. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9%
11 LIN George 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
12 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
13 FERLAND Brent 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
14 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
14 RUGGLES William R. 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
16 HENTY Colton 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2%
17 KROHN Matthew 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
18 ROSENBLATT Aidan 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
19 KIM Joshua 100% 64% 22% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.