Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FU Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 OLIVAS Joseph 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
3 DENG Destin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
5 YAO Tristan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
6 XUE Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 49%
7 OR Anson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
8 KROTZ Nicolas 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
9 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
10 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
11 WONG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
12 RONG Marcus 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
13 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
14 BERTEL Florian 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 11%
15 LIU Daniel 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
16 PARK Sean 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
17 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
18 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
19 SHOURIE Seth 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 19% 3%
20 NOLAN Morgan 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
21 TANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
22 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 14%
23 WONG Vansen 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
24 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 8%
25 CHAN JR Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
26 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
27 SUN Jerry 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
28 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
29 LUCENAY Samuel 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 1%
30 LEE Joshua 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
31 TENG Eric 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% - -
32 YUN Nicholas 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
33 DENG Henry 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
34 ELARDO Griffin 100% 95% 76% 42% 15% 3% -
35 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 3%
36 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
37 NUGENT Curtis 100% 100% 100% 92% 51% 10%
38 YOON Ian 100% 96% 74% 33% 7% 1%
39 PARRA Lucas 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 49% 15%
40 CHIN NAKAZONO Justin 100% 99% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
41 SAMIMI Sina 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 7%
42 MAI Sy 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 1%
43 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
44 VENERACION Marcus 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
45 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
46 YU Haoyun 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 1%
47 SHOURIE Neel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
48 SHARMA Aniket 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
49 YIM Antonio 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
51 KONG William 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
52 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
53 LYSENKO Timofei 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
53 SONG Jonathan 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 2%
55 HUANG Eason 100% 92% 58% 19% 3% -
56 GONZALEZ-KUSHNER Elian 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
57 CHIEN Ian 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
58 GUO Jonathan 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
59 LIU Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
60 GONG Rongtao 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
61 KOU Mason 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
62 MA Nolan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 6%
63 CHAN Nathan 100% 98% 85% 51% 18% 3% -
65 TAVERNA Matteo 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
66 ENG Kyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
67 HUNG Ludwig 100% 79% 29% 3% - -
68 HERNANDEZ-ALDANA Miguel 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
69 FONG Ethan 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
70 LI Connor 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
71 GUO OSCAR 100% 92% 56% 18% 2% -
72 FERRIERE Theo 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
72 ZENG Aidrik 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
74 KOU Logan 100% 57% 13% 1% - -
75 CHU Clayton 100% 92% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
76 LIU Aiden 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
77 ORTMANN Noah 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
78 LO Stefan 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
79 YUN Mason 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
80 ZHAO Luke 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
81 NOZAWA Luke 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
82 TIAN Dylan 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
83 YE Andrew 100% 92% 55% 10% 1% -
84 LOUIE Kyle 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
85 BALDWIN Liam 100% 37% 6% - - - -
86 YANG Rony 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.