Fortune RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Leejay 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
2 WANG Joey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 20%
3 WANG Devin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
5 DENISON Declan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
6 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
7 TANG William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
8 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
9 TAI Edison 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 49%
10 KOFMAN David 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
11 XUE Michael 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
12 SCHWARTZMAN Ethan 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
13 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 6%
14 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
15 MARENCIK Miles 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
16 SHETTY Rohit 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
17 RONG Gordon 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
18 LI Ethan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
19 HSU Joshua 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
20 DENG Henry 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
21 DODDAPANENI Aarav 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
22 MCLAREN Mason 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
23 SIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
24 BROWN Korbyn 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
25 FU Nolan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
26 GUO Luke 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
27 SARMIENTO Luke 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
28 LI Grayson 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
29 VOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
30 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
31 SU Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 4%
32 CHARETTE Matt 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
33 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
34 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 89% 55% 14% 1%
35 SAMIMI Sina 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
36 LEUNG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
37 TOUSSAINT Wizard 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
38 KLINKNER Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
39 GUO Woody 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
40 KIM Remington 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% -
41 PARRA Lucas 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
42 WHITE Ryden 100% 97% 73% 30% 5% -
42 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
44 MARTEGANI Enea 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
45 GADHVI Darius 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
45 LIANG Donny 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
47 HAMILTON Travis 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
48 FEI Victor 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
49 OR Anson 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
50 MAXU Tiger 100% 100% 98% 84% 53% 19% 3%
51 COLE Perrin 100% 96% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
52 NORTON Henry 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
53 GE Austin 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
54 QIAO James 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
55 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
56 LIU Max 100% 93% 56% 16% 2% -
57 YUN Nicholas 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
58 MA Nolan 100% 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
59 RAJPRABHU Pranesh 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
60 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 98% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
61 TAMAYO-SARVER Daniel 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
62 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
63 MENG Haoyi 100% 95% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
64 WONG Vansen 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
65 SONG Jonathan 100% 91% 55% 18% 3% - -
65 DEAN Samuel 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
67 KNIGHT Rollan 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 3%
68 XIE HanZhang (Elon) 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
69 CHIEN Ian 100% 98% 49% 12% 1% - -
69 COIMBATORE Dillon 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
71 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
71 AYDIN Kaan 100% 40% 7% - - -
73 NUGENT Curtis 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
74 DEAN Isaac 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
76 HOBBS Fineas 100% 6% - - - - -
77 BYUN Matthew 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.