Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 SAMOYLOV Daniel - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
3 WONG Kyle - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
3 YOON Ian - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 19%
5 LIN Logan - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 6%
6 WU Nathan - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
7 GUO Jonathan - 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
8 YOO Lucas - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
9 KHUSHRAJ Rohan - - - 1% 11% 42% 45%
10 CHU Clayton - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
11 SUN Jerry - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
12 LI Stephen 1% 6% 24% 39% 26% 4%
13 FONG Ethan 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
14 LEE Lucas - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
15 LIU Yihong - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
16 ZHAO Luke 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
17 FU Benjamin - - 3% 19% 48% 27% 3%
18 YI Alexander - - 5% 25% 48% 22%
19 ELARDO Griffin - 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
20 TIAN Dylan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
21 YUN Mason - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
22 HAN Alex - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
23 NOVOSELOV Roman - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
24 PARK Sean 1% 12% 39% 37% 11% 1%
25 LI John 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
26 LIU William - 5% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
27 GONG Rongtao 12% 42% 33% 11% 2% - -
28 LO Stefan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
29 TENG Eric - 4% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1%
30 WANG Alexander 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
31 NGUYEN Norris 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% -
32 ZHANG Jenson - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
33 JIN JETFAN - - 2% 14% 44% 40%
34 KOU Logan 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
35 DUCOURNAU Enzo 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
36 REN Mark - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
37 XUE Jason 5% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1%
38 HONG Eason 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
39 LIU Aiden - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
40 NOZAWA Luke - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
41 GUO OSCAR - 3% 12% 28% 34% 19% 3%
42 KIM Benjamin 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
43 BALDWIN Liam 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
44 SI Alexander 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 4% -
45 DOLEZAL Grayson 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
47 LI Ethan 10% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
48 WAN William 19% 50% 26% 5% - -
49 BUSH Andrew 1% 9% 34% 40% 14% 2%
50 LI Connor 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% -
51 MCEWEN Max 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
52 KONG Dean 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
53 CHO Lincoln 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 5% -
54 NISHIOKA Hiro 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
55 TOTH Leland - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
56 YE Andrew 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
57 HAO Hardy 13% 37% 35% 13% 2% -
58 DING Daniel 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
59 CHO Nathan - 2% 15% 35% 34% 12% 1%
60 SHI Ethan 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
61 EVANS Harvey 40% 42% 15% 3% - - -
62 LI nathan zeting 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
63 LEE Connor 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
64 JAFARINEJAD Sam < 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
65 LEE Paxton 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
66 YANG Rony 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
67 CHANG Ephram 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
68 YANG Mikey 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
69 DAI Greyson 14% 40% 33% 11% 2% - -
70 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
71 LEI Hanson 49% 40% 10% 1% - -
72 LU Mark 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
73 LI Anson 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
74 LEE Zeo 50% 38% 10% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.