Fortune RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, March 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Ontario Convention Center - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
3 YOON Ian 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
5 LIN Logan 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
6 WU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
7 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
8 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
9 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
10 CHU Clayton 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
11 SUN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
12 LI Stephen 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
13 FONG Ethan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
14 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
15 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
16 ZHAO Luke 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
17 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 30% 3%
18 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 22%
19 ELARDO Griffin 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
20 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
21 YUN Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
22 HAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
23 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
24 PARK Sean 100% 99% 87% 48% 12% 1%
25 LI John 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
26 LIU William 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
27 GONG Rongtao 100% 88% 46% 13% 2% - -
28 LO Stefan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% -
29 TENG Eric 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
30 WANG Alexander 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
31 NGUYEN Norris 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% -
32 ZHANG Jenson 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
33 JIN JETFAN 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
34 KOU Logan 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
35 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
36 REN Mark 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
37 XUE Jason 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1%
38 HONG Eason 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
39 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 16% 2%
40 NOZAWA Luke 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 6%
41 GUO OSCAR 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 3%
42 KIM Benjamin 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
43 BALDWIN Liam 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
44 SI Alexander 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
45 DOLEZAL Grayson 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 6% -
47 LI Ethan 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% -
48 WAN William 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
49 BUSH Andrew 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2%
50 LI Connor 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
51 MCEWEN Max 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
52 KONG Dean 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 6% -
53 CHO Lincoln 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
54 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
55 TOTH Leland 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 7%
56 YE Andrew 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
57 HAO Hardy 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
58 DING Daniel 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
59 CHO Nathan 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
60 SHI Ethan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
61 EVANS Harvey 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
62 LI nathan zeting 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
63 LEE Connor 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
64 JAFARINEJAD Sam 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
65 LEE Paxton 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
66 YANG Rony 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
67 CHANG Ephram 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
68 YANG Mikey 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
69 DAI Greyson 100% 86% 46% 13% 2% - -
70 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
71 LEI Hanson 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
72 LU Mark 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
73 LI Anson 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
74 LEE Zeo 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.