Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
2 QI Chelsie - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 29%
3 GURTIN Aleksandra - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
5 HAN Emma - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
6 KUO Stella - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
7 XIE ANDREA - - 2% 11% 28% 38% 20%
8 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
9 LIANG Kristy 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 9% 1%
10 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
11 CHEN Laila - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
12 TANG Jacquelyn - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
13 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
14 CHANG Hannah - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 14%
15 PATEL Agena - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
16 DARMAWAN Thea 13% 43% 33% 10% 1% -
17 LIU Brinley - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
18 WARD Imani - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
19 PATEL Aria - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 4%
20 SIU Mila - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
21 WANG Katherine 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
22 SHEN Sophia - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
23 SELASSIE Semara 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
24 XU Yunshu - 6% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
25 NEMAT Kamila 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 3%
26 VILLER Gabriella 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
27 ERATA Selena 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
28 CHEN Emily 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 2% -
29 LIU sienna - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
30 LEE Gloria - 2% 11% 29% 36% 18% 3%
31 ZHAO Rachel - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
32 CHOI Serine 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
33 RYU Natalee 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
34 KAUR Harjas 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
35 MERHEJ Liv 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
36 YU Qinying 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
37 CHOI Noah - 1% 8% 25% 37% 23% 5%
38 SALIBA Madison 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
39 LIU Mona 36% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
40 MERHEJ Lea 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
41 YANG Emily 11% 35% 36% 15% 3% -
42 ALVAREZ Megan 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
43 VENKATESH Uma 1% 14% 32% 32% 17% 4% -
44 WU Caroline 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
45 KIM Chaeryeong 4% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
46 JIN Mia 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
47 LEE JiWon 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
48 YAO Nikkie 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
49 BIRZ Vivienne 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
50 LOUGH Abigail 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
51 LIU Sophie Wei 15% 38% 32% 13% 2% - -
52 VAZIRANI Jiya 21% 45% 27% 7% 1% - -
53 LAVIN Maxine 43% 41% 13% 2% - -
54 SARAON Karina 6% 25% 36% 25% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.