Miles Chamley-Watson Cup RYC/RJCC/ROC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Friday, March 20, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Hall D - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
3 ZHANG Yuchen A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 GURTIN Aleksandra 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
5 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
6 KUO Stella 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
7 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
8 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
9 LIANG Kristy 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
10 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
11 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
12 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
13 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
14 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
15 PATEL Agena 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
16 DARMAWAN Thea 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
17 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
18 WARD Imani 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
19 PATEL Aria 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
20 SIU Mila 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
21 WANG Katherine 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
22 SHEN Sophia 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
23 SELASSIE Semara 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
24 XU Yunshu 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
25 NEMAT Kamila 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 3%
26 VILLER Gabriella 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
27 ERATA Selena 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
28 CHEN Emily 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
29 LIU sienna 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
30 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
31 ZHAO Rachel 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
32 CHOI Serine 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
33 RYU Natalee 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
34 KAUR Harjas 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
35 MERHEJ Liv 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
36 YU Qinying 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
37 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
38 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
39 LIU Mona 100% 64% 24% 5% 1% - -
40 MERHEJ Lea 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
41 YANG Emily 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
42 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
43 VENKATESH Uma 100% 99% 85% 53% 21% 5% -
44 WU Caroline 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
45 KIM Chaeryeong 100% 96% 72% 36% 10% 2% -
46 JIN Mia 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
47 LEE JiWon 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
48 YAO Nikkie 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
49 BIRZ Vivienne 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
50 LOUGH Abigail 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
51 LIU Sophie Wei 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
52 VAZIRANI Jiya 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% - -
53 LAVIN Maxine 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
54 SARAON Karina 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.