Auburn Spring Open II

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
2 SORANNO James - 1% 13% 37% 37% 13%
3 DUNKLIN Devon - 1% 13% 36% 37% 13%
3 PHILLIPS Carson 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
5 GAYFORD Zachary - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
6 NGUYEN Wesley - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
7 HANNER Robert - 1% 17% 63% 18% 1%
8 HARRIS Brendan - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
9 OLSON Lucas 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
10 WENTWORTH Ashley 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
11 CALINSKY Zachary - 3% 14% 28% 32% 19% 5%
12 WYNN Paul - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
13 PETERS Joelle 1% 12% 46% 33% 7% -
14 MCNAIR William - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
15 MARTINEZ Cameron 1% 8% 23% 32% 25% 10% 1%
16 HAAS Lindsey 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
17 MEILAN William - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
18 GEISSLER Maximilian - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
19 MENDEZ SILVA Matias - 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3%
20 GUY Austin - 3% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3%
21 POSEY Callum - - 2% 17% 58% 23%
22 WERTH Mario - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
23 SUMMEY Travis 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
24 RETZER Phillip - 4% 35% 41% 17% 3% -
25 JACKSON Nathan - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
26 BANHOLZER Connor 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 1%
27 VARNER Kathryn 17% 60% 21% 2% - -
28 CARON Lucas 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
29 HOUSMANS Emma 41% 41% 15% 2% - -
30 WASH James 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
31 EDWARDS John 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
32 WOLLITZ Addison 31% 44% 20% 4% - - -
33 DUNKLE Carson 4% 20% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
34 MAY Cooper - 5% 22% 37% 28% 7%
35 HERNDON Rylee 26% 57% 16% 1% - -
36 CONCANNON Evelyn 20% 60% 18% 2% - - -
37 CHEN Ketai 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
38 SHANNON Sarabeth 5% 31% 53% 10% 1% -
39 CHRISTIAN Antonio 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.