Auburn Spring Open II

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Auburn University Recreation and Wellness Center - Auburn, AL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PUFFENBERGER Daniel 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
2 SORANNO James 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 13%
3 DUNKLIN Devon 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 13%
3 PHILLIPS Carson 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
5 GAYFORD Zachary 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 NGUYEN Wesley 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
7 HANNER Robert 100% 100% 99% 82% 19% 1%
8 HARRIS Brendan 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
9 OLSON Lucas 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 8% 1%
10 WENTWORTH Ashley 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
11 CALINSKY Zachary 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 5%
12 WYNN Paul 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
13 PETERS Joelle 100% 99% 87% 41% 8% -
14 MCNAIR William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
15 MARTINEZ Cameron 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
16 HAAS Lindsey 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
17 MEILAN William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 51%
18 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
19 MENDEZ SILVA Matias 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3%
20 GUY Austin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
21 POSEY Callum 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 23%
22 WERTH Mario 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
23 SUMMEY Travis 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
24 RETZER Phillip 100% 100% 96% 61% 20% 3% -
25 JACKSON Nathan 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9%
26 BANHOLZER Connor 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
27 VARNER Kathryn 100% 83% 23% 2% - -
28 CARON Lucas 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
29 HOUSMANS Emma 100% 59% 17% 3% - -
30 WASH James 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
31 EDWARDS John 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
32 WOLLITZ Addison 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
33 DUNKLE Carson 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
34 MAY Cooper 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
35 HERNDON Rylee 100% 74% 17% 1% - -
36 CONCANNON Evelyn 100% 80% 20% 2% - - -
37 CHEN Ketai 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
38 SHANNON Sarabeth 100% 95% 64% 11% 1% -
39 CHRISTIAN Antonio 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.