Event Preview
January NACFriday, January 7, 2022 at 2:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 4398 | 4453 - 4346 |
| 5 - 8 | 4247 | 4328 - 4168 |
| 9 - 16 | 3964 | 4075 - 3868 |
| 17 - 32 | 3800 | 4029 - 3653 |
| 33 - 64 | 3555 | 3844 - 3404 |
| 65 - 128 | 3215 | 3977 - 2965 |
| 129 - 179 | 2805 | 3483 - 1845 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.