Murphy's Irish City Open 10

E & Under Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 12:00 PM

Corsair Fencing School - Pittsburgh, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HREHOCIK Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70% 10%
2 KREUTEL Harrison 100% 100% 96% 72% 27% 3%
3 NOSIK Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 31%
3 JIANG Zhanyu 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 9%
5 ERDNER Graham 100% 100% 95% 69% 26% 2%
6 TAYLOR Nolan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
7 BURKARDT Victor 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3% -
8 BHANDARI Trevor 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
9 SHINN-CUNNINGHAM Barbara 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
10 KABUS Ethan 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1% -
11 KOBLE Peter 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
12 WOOD Phineas 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
13 BURKARDT Mark 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
14 HENDRYCH Matthew 100% 44% 7% - - -
15 VILKNER Jules 100% 100% 98% 81% 43% 10%
16 ZHAO Lawrence 100% 98% 72% 29% 6% - -
17 WEYANDT Tyler 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
18 O'NEILL Lillian 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
19 THROCKMORTON THOMAS 100% 100% 93% 53% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.