The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Duel D'Abdul

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, May 19, 2019 at 11:00 AM

East Bay Fencers Gym - Oakland, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BREWER Andrew - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 22%
2 PHILIPPINE Thibault - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 11%
3 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet - - 1% 9% 35% 41% 14%
4 MELCHER Jack - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
5 MENEGOLI Lorenzo - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
6 PHILIPPINE Matthias 2% 16% 39% 31% 10% 1%
7 KORNGUTH Lindsay - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 3%
8 NICHOLSON Dimitri 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
9 HAJIR Alexander - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
10 WHEELER Mark C. 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
11 ROOD Alex 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
12 KAUFMAN Joel H. 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
13 BECK Brian C. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6% 1%
14 DOWNEY Jerry C. - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
15 BRUCE Ommer 4% 23% 41% 26% 6% -
16 BARAFF David 4% 22% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
17 DAVIS Andrew 4% 22% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
18 WEINGARTEN Solomon (Sol) 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
19 BERTHOUD Josef C. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 13%
20 MAYCHROWITZ Matthew 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9% 1%
21 THORNE Casey 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 2%
22 JEFFERIES Jonathan 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 3% -
23 SHELBY Robert 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
24 LEONARDINI Barry M 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
25 ZIEBART Jeremy (JJ) 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
26 LIPTON Michael 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
27 CHEN Steve 49% 38% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.